Packers vs Vikings Prop Hit Rates
Week 1 · Sun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET · 192 props on Underdog & PrizePicks
Every Packers vs Vikings player prop on the board with its last-10 hit rate against the current line. Reads come from the same scorer as our slip grader: a TAKE means the under has a validated edge, a TRAP means the number is fighting the player's recent form, a coin flip means neither signal fired.
Top takes in this game
- Jordan Addisonunder 44.5 receiving yards~61% to hitInflated number — 44.5 sits 14.4 above their last-10 average (30.1) and they've stayed under it in 7 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
- Jordan Loveunder 250.5 pass+rush yds~60% to hitInflated number — 250.5 sits 13.9 above their last-10 average (236.6) and they've stayed under it in 6 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
- Jordan Loveunder 20.5 completions~60% to hitInflated number — 20.5 sits 1.2 above their last-10 average (19.3) and they've stayed under it in 6 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
- Matthew Goldenunder 41.5 rush + rec yds~60% to hitInflated number — 41.5 sits 17.8 above their last-10 average (23.7) and they've stayed under it in 8 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
- Kyler Murrayunder 254.5 pass+rush yds~60% to hitInflated number — 254.5 sits 1.8 above their last-10 average (252.7) and they've stayed under it in 6 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
Green Bay Packers props
| Player | Market | Line | L10 over | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MarShawn Lloyd | Rush+Rec Yds | 67.5 | 0% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Rush + Rec Yds | 64.5 | 0% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 52.5 | 0% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 50.5 | 0% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush Attempts | 13.5 | 0% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush Attempts | 13.5 | 0% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receiving Yards | 11.5 | 0% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receiving Yards | 11.5 | 0% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 0% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — | |
| Rush Yards in First 5 Attempts | 19.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Rush | 12.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Rush | 12.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 11.5 | 0% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Longest Reception | 8.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 8.5 | — | — | |
| Rush Yards Per Carry | 3.8 | — | — | |
| Last Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Player Touchdowns | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Jordan Love | Pass+Rush Yds | 250.5 | 40% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Pass Yards | 237.5 | 40% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Pass Attempts | 32.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Completions | 20.5 | 40% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 10.5 | 40% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush Attempts | 2.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Pass Tds | 1.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — | |
| Longest Completion | 37.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Rush | 7.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Pass INTs | 0.5 | 30% | COIN FLIP | |
| Christian Watson | Rush + Rec Yds | 55.5 | 40% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receiving Yards | 55.5 | 40% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receiving Yards | 54.5 | 40% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 4 | 29% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Longest Reception | 23.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 22.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 11 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rec Targets | 6.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Last Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Jayden Reed | Rush + Rec Yds | 41.5 | 60% | COIN FLIP |
| Receiving Yards | 39.5 | 60% | COIN FLIP | |
| Receiving Yards | 38.5 | 60% | COIN FLIP | |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Longest Reception | 18.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 8.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rec Targets | 4.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Matthew Golden | Rush + Rec Yds | 41.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Receiving Yards | 40.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Longest Reception | 18.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Chris Brooks | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Bo Melton | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Jonnu Smith | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Savion Williams | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Kaleb Johnson | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| Josh Whyle | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Skyy Moore | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| Trey Smack | Kicking Points | 6.5 | — | — |
| Kicking Points | 6.5 | — | — | |
| Xp Made | 2.5 | — | — | |
| FG Made | 1.5 | — | — | |
| Edgerrin Cooper | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
| Sacks | 0.5 | 0% | — | |
| Evan Williams | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
| Sacks | 0.5 | 0% | — | |
| Zaire Franklin | Sacks | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Dani Dennis-Sutton | Sacks | 0.5 | — | — |
| Keisean Nixon | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
| Barryn Sorrell | Sacks | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Devonte Wyatt | Sacks | 0.5 | 30% | COIN FLIP |
| Karl Brooks | Sacks | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| Lukas Van Ness | Sacks | 0.5 | 22% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Javon Bullard | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
| Sacks | 0.5 | 0% | — | |
| Xavier McKinney | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
| Sacks | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Chris McClellan | Sacks | 0.5 | — | — |
Minnesota Vikings props
| Player | Market | Line | L10 over | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler Murray | Pass+Rush Yds | 254.5 | 40% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Pass+Rush Yds | 247.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Pass Yards | 222.5 | 40% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Pass Yards | 222.5 | 40% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Pass Attempts | 31.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Pass Attempts | 31 | 67% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 21.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 21.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Pass Completions | 20.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Completions | 20.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Attempts | 5.5 | 40% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Pass Tds | 1.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Completion Percentage | 63.8 | — | — | |
| Longest Completion | 34.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Completion | 33.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 16.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Longest Rush | 11.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Rush | 11.5 | — | — | |
| Completions in First 10 Pass Attempts | 6.5 | — | — | |
| Pass+Rush+Rec TDs | 1.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Pass INTs | 0.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Jordan Mason | Rush + Rec Yds | 50.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Rush Yards | 43.5 | 40% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 43.5 | 40% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush Attempts | 10.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receiving Yards | 3.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receiving Yards | 1.5 | 30% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 0.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Longest Rush | 12.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Rush | 12.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 3.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 2.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Last Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Aaron Jones | Rush + Rec Yds | 47.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Rush Yards | 30.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receiving Yards | 13.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Attempts | 8.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 60% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Longest Rush | 9.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 8.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Jordan Addison | Receiving Yards | 44.5 | 30% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Receiving Yards | 42.5 | 30% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Longest Reception | 18.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 18.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 9.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rec Targets | 5.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Jauan Jennings | Receiving Yards | 23.5 | 90% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receiving Yards | 22.5 | 100% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 60% | COIN FLIP | |
| Longest Reception | 13.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 13.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 6 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rec Targets | 3.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Justin Jefferson | Receiving Yards | 73.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Receptions | 5.5 | 30% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Longest Reception | 23.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Last Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| T.J. Hockenson | Receiving Yards | 28.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 40% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Aaron Jones Sr. | Rush Yards | 29.5 | — | — |
| Receiving Yards | 13.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 9 | — | — | |
| Tai Felton | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| Max Bredeson | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | — | — |
| Demond Claiborne | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | — | — |
| Myles Price | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| Josh Oliver | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Will Reichard | Kicking Points | 7.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP |
| Kicking Points | 7.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Xp Made | 2.5 | 30% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| FG Made | 1.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| FG Made | 1.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Isaiah Rodgers | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
| Theo Jackson | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
| Byron Murphy | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
| Joshua Metellus | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
| Javon Hargrave | Sacks | 0.5 | 11% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Brandon Cisse | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
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