Justin Jefferson Receptions Hit Rate
WR · MIN
Justin Jefferson (MIN) went over the current 6.5 line in 1 of his 6 games in 2026, averaging 4.7 receptions across 6 games.
This week: vs BUF — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
6.5
On the board at Underdog vs BUF
2026 avg
4.7
6 games
Over 6.5
1-5
17%
Season total
28
receptions
Hit rate by line — 2026 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 3 | 3 | 50% |
| 5.5 | 2 | 4 | 33% |
| 6.5current line | 1 | 5 | 17% |
| 7.5 | 1 | 5 | 17% |
| 8.5 | 0 | 6 | 0% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 6.5 |
|---|
Every 2026 game — receptions
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receptions | vs 6.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | 8 | DET | 5 | Under |
| 2026-10-25 | 7 | IND | 4 | Under |
| 2026-10-11 | 5 | NO | 6 | Under |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | TB | 2 | Under |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | CHI | 3 | Under |
| 2026-09-13 | 1 | GB | 8 | Over |
Justin Jefferson receptions — common questions
- How often does Justin Jefferson go over 6.5 receptions?
- Justin Jefferson went over 6.5 receptions in 1 of his 6 games in 2026 (17%), averaging 4.7 per game.
- What is Justin Jefferson's receptions line?
- Justin Jefferson's receptions line is 6.5 at Underdog vs the BUF.
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