Justin Jefferson Receptions Hit Rate
WR · MIN · 2025 with Minnesota Vikings
Justin Jefferson (MIN) went over the current 9.5 line in 1 of his 17 games in 2025, averaging 4.9 receptions across 17 games.
This week: vs TB — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
9.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs TB
2025 avg
4.9
17 games
Over 9.5
1-16
6%
Season total
84
receptions
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 2 | 15 | 12% |
| 8.5 | 1 | 16 | 6% |
| 9.5current line | 1 | 16 | 6% |
| 10.5 | 0 | 17 | 0% |
| 11.5 | 0 | 17 | 0% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 4.5 | 0-8 (0%) |
| Road | 9 | 5.3 | 1-8 (11%) |
Every 2025 game — receptions
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receptions | vs 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs Green Bay Packers | 8 | Under |
| 2025-12-25 | 17 | vs Detroit Lions | 4 | Under |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ New York Giants | 6 | Under |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ Dallas Cowboys | 2 | Under |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs Washington Commanders | 2 | Under |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | @ Seattle Seahawks | 2 | Under |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | @ Green Bay Packers | 4 | Under |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | vs Chicago Bears | 5 | Under |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | vs Baltimore Ravens | 4 | Under |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ Detroit Lions | 6 | Under |
| 2025-10-23 | 8 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | 7 | Under |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 5 | Under |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | @ Cleveland Browns | 7 | Under |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 10 | Over |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | Under |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs Atlanta Falcons | 3 | Under |
| 2025-09-08 | 1 | @ Chicago Bears | 4 | Under |
Justin Jefferson receptions — common questions
- How often does Justin Jefferson go over 9.5 receptions?
- Justin Jefferson went over 9.5 receptions in 1 of his 17 games in 2025 (6%), averaging 4.9 per game.
- What is Justin Jefferson's receptions line?
- Justin Jefferson's receptions line is 9.5 at PrizePicks vs the TB.
- Does Justin Jefferson do better at home or on the road?
- Justin Jefferson averaged 5.3 receptions in 9 road games versus 4.5 in 8 home games during 2025.
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