Patriots vs Seahawks Prop Hit Rates
Week 1 · Wed, Sep 9, 8:20 PM ET · 200 props on Underdog & PrizePicks
Every Patriots vs Seahawks player prop on the board with its last-10 hit rate against the current line. Reads come from the same scorer as our slip grader: a TAKE means the under has a validated edge, a TRAP means the number is fighting the player's recent form, a coin flip means neither signal fired.
Top takes in this game
- Rashid Shaheedunder 2.5 receptions~60% to hitInflated number — 2.5 sits 1 above their last-10 average (1.5) and they've stayed under it in 8 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
- Rashid Shaheedunder 2.5 receptions~60% to hitInflated number — 2.5 sits 1 above their last-10 average (1.5) and they've stayed under it in 8 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
- Rhamondre Stevensonunder 11.5 rush attempts~60% to hitInflated number — 11.5 sits 1 above their last-10 average (10.5) and they've stayed under it in 7 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
- Rhamondre Stevensonunder 11.5 rush attempts~60% to hitInflated number — 11.5 sits 1 above their last-10 average (10.5) and they've stayed under it in 7 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
- Drake Mayeunder 31.5 pass attempts~60% to hitInflated number — 31.5 sits 2.3 above their last-10 average (29.2) and they've stayed under it in 7 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
New England Patriots props
| Player | Market | Line | L10 over | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | Rush+Rec Yds | 66.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Rush + Rec Yds | 66.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 43.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 42.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receiving Yards | 22.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receiving Yards | 22.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Attempts | 11.5 | 30% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush Attempts | 11.5 | 30% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rush Yards in First 5 Attempts | 19.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Rush | 11.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 11.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Rush | 11.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 11 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Longest Reception | 10.5 | — | — | |
| Rush Yards Per Carry | 4 | — | — | |
| Rec Targets | 3 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Last Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| TreVeyon Henderson | Rush+Rec Yds | 40.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Rush + Rec Yds | 40.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 28.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 28.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receiving Yards | 7.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receiving Yards | 7.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Attempts | 7.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Attempts | 7.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 20% | COIN FLIP | |
| Longest Rush | 10.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Rush | 10.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 7 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Longest Reception | 6.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 6.5 | — | — | |
| Rec Targets | 2 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Drake Maye | Pass+Rush Yds | 256.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Pass Yards | 226.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Pass Attempts | 31.5 | 30% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 24.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Completions | 19.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rush Attempts | 5.5 | 40% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Pass Tds | 1.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 20% | COIN FLIP | |
| Longest Completion | 37.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Rush | 11.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Pass INTs | 0.5 | 60% | COIN FLIP | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Hunter Henry | Receiving Yards | 34.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receiving Yards | 33.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Receptions | 3 | 57% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Fantasy Score | 8 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rec Targets | 4.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| DeMario Douglas | Receiving Yards | 18.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receiving Yards | 18.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 2 | 25% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Fantasy Score | 4.5 | 40% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rec Targets | 3 | — | — | |
| A.J. Brown | Receiving Yards | 62.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receptions | 5 | 56% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Fantasy Score | 13 | 44% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rec Targets | 7.5 | — | — | |
| Romeo Doubs | Receiving Yards | 37.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Fantasy Score | 8.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rec Targets | 5.5 | — | — | |
| Kyle Williams | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Mack Hollins | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Eli Raridon | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | — | — |
| Craig Woodson | Tackles+Ast | 5.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Assists | 2.5 | — | — | |
| Solo Tackles | 2.5 | 90% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Marcus Jones | Tackles+Ast | 3.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Solo Tackles | 2.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Assists | 1.5 | — | — | |
| Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Milton Williams | Sacks | 0.5 | 30% | COIN FLIP |
| Elijah Ponder | Sacks | 0.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Dre'Mont Jones | Sacks | 0.5 | 30% | COIN FLIP |
| Christian Barmore | Sacks | 0.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER |
Seattle Seahawks props
| Player | Market | Line | L10 over | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold | Pass+Rush Yds | 238.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP |
| Pass Yards | 228.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Pass Attempts | 29.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Completions | 20.5 | 30% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 5.5 | 40% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Attempts | 2.5 | 60% | COIN FLIP | |
| Pass Tds | 1.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — | |
| Longest Completion | 36.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Rush | 5.5 | — | — | |
| Pass INTs | 0.5 | 30% | COIN FLIP | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Rashid Shaheed | Rush + Rec Yds | 37.5 | 30% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Receiving Yards | 31.5 | 30% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receiving Yards | 31.5 | 30% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 3.5 | 40% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 2.5 | 40% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — | |
| Longest Reception | 17.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 16.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 7 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rec Targets | 4 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| George Holani | Rush + Rec Yds | 30.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Rush+Rec Yds | 30.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 19.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 19.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receiving Yards | 7.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receiving Yards | 7.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Longest Rush | 8.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 6.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 6.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Jadarian Price | Rush+Rec Yds | 63.5 | — | — |
| Rush Yards | 51.5 | — | — | |
| Rush Attempts | 13 | — | — | |
| Receiving Yards | 6.5 | — | — | |
| Rush Yards in First 5 Attempts | 19.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Rush | 12.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 9.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 6.5 | — | — | |
| Rush Yards Per Carry | 3.8 | — | — | |
| AJ Barner | Receiving Yards | 25.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receiving Yards | 24.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 60% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 30% | COIN FLIP | |
| Longest Reception | 13.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 13.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 6.5 | 30% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rec Targets | 3.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Receiving Yards | 82.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receptions | 6.5 | 60% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Last Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Cooper Kupp | Receiving Yards | 29.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Jake Bobo | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Elijah Arroyo | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Tory Horton | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP |
| Corey Kiner | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Efton Chism | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | — | — |
| Brady Russell | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| Eric Saubert | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| Emanuel Wilson | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 20% | COIN FLIP |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Jason Myers | Kicking Points | 7.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Kicking Points | 7.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Xp Made | 2.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| FG Made | 1.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Kevin Byard | Tackles+Ast | 5.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Solo Tackles | 3.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Assists | 2.5 | — | — | |
| Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Julian Love | Tackles+Ast | 4.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP |
| Solo Tackles | 2.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Assists | 1.5 | — | — | |
| Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Byron Murphy | Tackles+Ast | 3.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Assists | 1.5 | — | — | |
| Solo Tackles | 1.5 | 90% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Sacks | 0.5 | 0% | — | |
| Josh Jobe | Tackles+Ast | 3.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP |
| Solo Tackles | 2.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Sacks | 0.5 | 0% | — | |
| Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Assists | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Michael Dickson | Punts | 3.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP |
| Punts Inside 20 | 1.5 | — | — | |
| DeMarcus Lawrence | Tackles+Ast | 2.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Solo Tackles | 1.5 | 90% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Assists | 1.5 | — | — | |
| Sacks | 0.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Leonard Williams | Tackles+Ast | 2.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Solo Tackles | 1.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Assists | 1.5 | — | — | |
| Sacks | 0.5 | 30% | COIN FLIP | |
| Drake Thomas | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
| Uchenna Nwosu | Sacks | 0.5 | 11% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Carlton Davis | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
| Derick Hall | Sacks | 0.5 | 30% | COIN FLIP |
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