49ers vs Rams Prop Hit Rates
Week 1 · Thu, Sep 10, 8:35 PM ET · 252 props on Underdog & PrizePicks
Every 49ers vs Rams player prop on the board with its last-10 hit rate against the current line. Reads come from the same scorer as our slip grader: a TAKE means the under has a validated edge, a TRAP means the number is fighting the player's recent form, a coin flip means neither signal fired.
Top takes in this game
- Brock Purdyunder 33.5 pass attempts~60% to hitInflated number — 33.5 sits 2.8 above their last-10 average (30.7) and they've stayed under it in 8 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
- Brock Purdyunder 33.5 pass attempts~60% to hitInflated number — 33.5 sits 2.8 above their last-10 average (30.7) and they've stayed under it in 8 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
- Davante Adamsunder 4.5 receptions~59% to hitInflated number — 4.5 sits 0.5 above their last-10 average (4) and they've stayed under it in 6 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
- Davante Adamsunder 4.5 receptions~59% to hitInflated number — 4.5 sits 0.5 above their last-10 average (4) and they've stayed under it in 6 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
- Terrance Fergusonunder 21.5 receiving yards~55% to hitInflated number — 21.5 sits 7.1 above their last-10 average (14.4) and they've stayed under it in 7 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
San Francisco 49ers props
| Player | Market | Line | L10 over | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Purdy | Pass+Rush Yds | 264.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP |
| Pass+Rush Yds | 264.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Pass Yards | 243.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Pass Yards | 243.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Pass Attempts | 33.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Pass Attempts | 33.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Pass Completions | 21.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Completions | 21.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rush Yards | 17.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 15.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Attempts | 4.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Pass TDs | 1.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Pass Tds | 1.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 20% | COIN FLIP | |
| Completion Percentage | 65.1 | — | — | |
| Longest Completion | 34.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Completion | 34.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 17 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Longest Rush | 9.5 | — | — | |
| Completions in First 10 Pass Attempts | 6.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| INT | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Pass INTs | 0.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Christian McCaffrey | Rush + Rec Yds | 99.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Rush Yards | 59.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receiving Yards | 37.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Attempts | 14.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Longest Reception | 15.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Rush | 13.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Last Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Mike Evans | Receiving Yards | 48.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receiving Yards | 48.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 4 | 67% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Longest Reception | 19.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 19.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 10.5 | 60% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rec Targets | 6 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Last Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| De'Zhaun Stribling | Receiving Yards | 39.5 | — | — |
| Receiving Yards | 38.5 | — | — | |
| Receptions | 3.5 | — | — | |
| Receptions | 3 | — | — | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 18.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 16.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 9 | — | — | |
| Rec Targets | 5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| George Kittle | Receiving Yards | 42.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receiving Yards | 40.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 90% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | Receiving Yards | 29.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receptions | 3 | 71% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Longest Reception | 14.5 | — | — | |
| Rec Targets | 4.5 | — | — | |
| Kaelon Black | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | — | — |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Demarcus Robinson | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Kyle Juszczyk | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Jordan James | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| Fred Warner | Tackles+Ast | 8.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Solo Tackles | 4.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Assists | 4.5 | — | — | |
| Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Eddy Pineiro | Kicking Points | 6.5 | 40% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Kicking Points | 6.5 | 40% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Xp Made | 2.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| FG Made | 1.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Ji'Ayir Brown | Tackles+Ast | 5.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Solo Tackles | 3.5 | 90% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Assists | 2.5 | — | — | |
| Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Deommodore Lenoir | Tackles+Ast | 4.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Solo Tackles | 2.5 | 90% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Assists | 1.5 | — | — | |
| Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Corliss Waitman | Punts | 3.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Punts Inside 20 | 1.5 | — | — | |
| Osa Odighizuwa | Tackles+Ast | 2.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Assists | 1.5 | — | — | |
| Solo Tackles | 0.5 | 100% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Nick Bosa | Sacks | 0.8 | 60% | COIN FLIP |
| Upton Stout | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
Los Angeles Rams props
| Player | Market | Line | L10 over | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | Pass Yards | 266.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Pass Yards | 265.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Pass+Rush Yds | 263.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Pass+Rush Yds | 263.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Pass Attempts | 34.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Pass Attempts | 33.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Completions | 23.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Pass Completions | 22.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Pass Tds | 1.5 | 90% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — | |
| Completion Percentage | 63.8 | — | — | |
| Longest Completion | 37.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Completion | 37.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 17.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Completions in First 10 Pass Attempts | 6.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Pass INTs | 0.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Kyren Williams | Rush+Rec Yds | 73.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Rush + Rec Yds | 71.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 57.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 56.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Attempts | 13.5 | 30% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Attempts | 13.5 | 30% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receiving Yards | 10.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receiving Yards | 10.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards in First 5 Attempts | 20.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Rush | 12.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Rush | 12.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 12 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Longest Reception | 7.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 7.5 | — | — | |
| Rush Yards Per Carry | 4.2 | — | — | |
| Last Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Rush TDs | 0.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Blake Corum | Rush + Rec Yds | 43.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Rush+Rec Yds | 41.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 37.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 37.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Attempts | 9.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rush Attempts | 9.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Receiving Yards | 1.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Receiving Yards | 0.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 0.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Longest Rush | 11.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Rush | 11.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 7 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Longest Reception | 1.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 1.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Last Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Puka Nacua | Receiving Yards | 91.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receiving Yards | 90.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 7.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 7 | 63% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 0.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Longest Reception | 26.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 26.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 18.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rec Targets | 10 | — | — | |
| Last Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Davante Adams | Receiving Yards | 51.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receiving Yards | 49.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 40% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 40% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Longest Reception | 19.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 19.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 12 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Last Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Tyler Higbee | Receiving Yards | 11.5 | 100% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receiving Yards | 11.5 | 100% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 30% | COIN FLIP | |
| Longest Reception | 8.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 8.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Colby Parkinson | Receiving Yards | 22.5 | 90% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receiving Yards | 21.5 | 90% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Terrance Ferguson | Receiving Yards | 21.5 | 30% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Receiving Yards | 20.5 | 30% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Longest Reception | 13.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 13.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Deebo Samuel | Receiving Yards | 29.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Longest Reception | 16.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Davis Allen | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| Tutu Atwell | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Konata Mumpfield | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| Jordan Whittington | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| Jacob Cowing | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| Ronnie Rivers | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| Xavier Smith | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| Harrison Mevis | Kicking Points | 7.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Kicking Points | 7.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Xp Made | 2.5 | 90% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| FG Made | 1.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| FG Made | 1.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Kam Curl | Tackles+Ast | 6.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Solo Tackles | 3.5 | 100% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Assists | 2.5 | — | — | |
| Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Sacks | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Quentin Lake | Tackles+Ast | 5.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Solo Tackles | 3.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Assists | 2.5 | — | — | |
| Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Sacks | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Trent McDuffie | Tackles+Ast | 4.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Solo Tackles | 2.5 | 90% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Assists | 1.5 | — | — | |
| Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Sacks | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Jaylen Watson | Tackles+Ast | 3.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Solo Tackles | 2.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Assists | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Sacks | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Byron Young | Tackles+Ast | 3.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Assists | 1.5 | — | — | |
| Solo Tackles | 1.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Sacks | 0.8 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Sacks | 0.8 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Sacks | 0.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Ethan Evans | Punts | 3 | 43% | COIN FLIP |
| Punts Inside 20 | 1.5 | — | — | |
| Kobie Turner | Tackles+Ast | 2.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Solo Tackles | 1.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Assists | 1.5 | — | — | |
| Sacks | 0.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Myles Garrett | Tackles+Ast | 2.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Solo Tackles | 1.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Assists | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Sacks | 0.5 | 89% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Braden Fiske | Sacks | 0.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP |
| Omar Speights | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
| Kamren Kinchens | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
Building a slip from this game?
Drop your PrizePicks or Underdog slip in the grader — a read on every leg plus the joint win probability against the payout, free.
Grade my slipNFL Season Pass — $49
Every hit rate, every board, unlimited slip grades — now through the Super Bowl. One payment, no renewal.