Aaron Jones Receptions Hit Rate
RB · MIN · 2025 with Minnesota Vikings
Aaron Jones (MIN) went over the current 2.5 line in 7 of his 12 games in 2025, averaging 2.3 receptions across 12 games.
This week: vs TB — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
2.5
On the board at Underdog vs TB
2025 avg
2.3
12 games
Over 2.5
7-5
58%
Season total
28
receptions
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 10 | 2 | 83% |
| 1.5 | 10 | 2 | 83% |
| 2.5current line | 7 | 5 | 58% |
| 3.5 | 1 | 11 | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0 | 12 | 0% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5 | 1.8 | 3-2 (60%) |
| Road | 7 | 2.7 | 4-3 (57%) |
Every 2025 game — receptions
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receptions | vs 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-25 | 17 | vs Detroit Lions | 3 | Over |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ New York Giants | 2 | Under |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ Dallas Cowboys | 3 | Over |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs Washington Commanders | 0 | Under |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | @ Seattle Seahawks | 4 | Over |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | @ Green Bay Packers | 3 | Over |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | vs Chicago Bears | 3 | Over |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | vs Baltimore Ravens | 3 | Over |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ Detroit Lions | 2 | Under |
| 2025-10-23 | 8 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | Under |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs Atlanta Falcons | 0 | Under |
| 2025-09-08 | 1 | @ Chicago Bears | 3 | Over |
Aaron Jones receptions — common questions
- How often does Aaron Jones go over 2.5 receptions?
- Aaron Jones went over 2.5 receptions in 7 of his 12 games in 2025 (58%), averaging 2.3 per game.
- What is Aaron Jones's receptions line?
- Aaron Jones's receptions line is 2.5 at Underdog vs the TB.
- Does Aaron Jones do better at home or on the road?
- Aaron Jones averaged 2.7 receptions in 7 road games versus 1.8 in 5 home games during 2025.
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