Christian McCaffrey Receptions Hit Rate
RB · SF · 2025 with San Francisco 49ers
Christian McCaffrey (SF) went over the current 9.5 line in 1 of his 17 games in 2025, averaging 6 receptions across 17 games.
This week: vs ARI — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
9.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs ARI
2025 avg
6
17 games
Over 9.5
1-16
6%
Season total
102
receptions
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 4 | 13 | 24% |
| 8.5 | 2 | 15 | 12% |
| 9.5current line | 1 | 16 | 6% |
| 10.5 | 0 | 17 | 0% |
| 11.5 | 0 | 17 | 0% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 6.1 | 1-7 (13%) |
| Road | 9 | 5.9 | 0-9 (0%) |
Every 2025 game — receptions
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receptions | vs 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | 18 | vs Seattle Seahawks | 6 | Under |
| 2025-12-28 | 17 | vs Chicago Bears | 4 | Under |
| 2025-12-22 | 16 | @ Indianapolis Colts | 6 | Under |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | vs Tennessee Titans | 1 | Under |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | @ Cleveland Browns | 4 | Under |
| 2025-11-24 | 12 | vs Carolina Panthers | 7 | Under |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Arizona Cardinals | 5 | Under |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | vs Los Angeles Rams | 8 | Under |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ New York Giants | 5 | Under |
| 2025-10-26 | 8 | @ Houston Texans | 3 | Under |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs Atlanta Falcons | 7 | Under |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | Under |
| 2025-10-02 | 5 | @ Los Angeles Rams | 8 | Under |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | 6 | Under |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | vs Arizona Cardinals | 10 | Over |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | @ New Orleans Saints | 6 | Under |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | @ Seattle Seahawks | 9 | Under |
Christian McCaffrey receptions — common questions
- How often does Christian McCaffrey go over 9.5 receptions?
- Christian McCaffrey went over 9.5 receptions in 1 of his 17 games in 2025 (6%), averaging 6 per game.
- What is Christian McCaffrey's receptions line?
- Christian McCaffrey's receptions line is 9.5 at PrizePicks vs the ARI.
- Does Christian McCaffrey do better at home or on the road?
- Christian McCaffrey averaged 6.1 receptions in 8 home games versus 5.9 in 9 road games during 2025.
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