Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Hit Rate
QB · Los Angeles Rams
Matthew Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) went over 273.5 — where his line lands when it posts in 8 of his 17 games in 2025, averaging 276.9 passing yards across 17 games.
2025 median
273
Off the board right now. Numbers below anchor 273.5 — where the line usually lands.
2025 avg
276.9
17 games
Over 273.5
8-9
47%
Season total
4707
passing yards
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 248.5 | 11 | 6 | 65% |
| 260.5 | 10 | 7 | 59% |
| 273.5anchor | 8 | 9 | 47% |
| 286.5 | 5 | 12 | 29% |
| 298.5 | 4 | 13 | 24% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 273.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 290 | 4-4 (50%) |
| Road | 9 | 265.2 | 4-5 (44%) |
Every 2025 game — passing yards
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Passing Yards | vs 273.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs Arizona Cardinals | 259 | Under |
| 2025-12-29 | 17 | @ Atlanta Falcons | 269 | Under |
| 2025-12-18 | 16 | @ Seattle Seahawks | 457 | Over |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | vs Detroit Lions | 368 | Over |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | @ Arizona Cardinals | 281 | Over |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | @ Carolina Panthers | 243 | Under |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 273 | Under |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | vs Seattle Seahawks | 130 | Under |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | @ San Francisco 49ers | 280 | Over |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | vs New Orleans Saints | 281 | Over |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | 182 | Under |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | @ Baltimore Ravens | 181 | Under |
| 2025-10-02 | 5 | vs San Francisco 49ers | 389 | Over |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs Indianapolis Colts | 375 | Over |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 196 | Under |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | @ Tennessee Titans | 298 | Over |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | vs Houston Texans | 245 | Under |
Matthew Stafford passing yards — common questions
- How often does Matthew Stafford go over 273.5 passing yards?
- Matthew Stafford went over 273.5 passing yards in 8 of his 17 games in 2025 (47%), averaging 276.9 per game.
- What is Matthew Stafford's passing yards line?
- Matthew Stafford has no passing yards line posted right now. His 2025 median was 273 passing yards, which is where the line typically lands.
- Does Matthew Stafford do better at home or on the road?
- Matthew Stafford averaged 290 passing yards in 8 home games versus 265.2 in 9 road games during 2025.
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