Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Hit Rate
RB · San Francisco 49ers
Christian McCaffrey (San Francisco 49ers) went over 53.5 — where his line lands when it posts in 8 of his 17 games in 2025, averaging 54.4 receiving yards across 17 games.
2025 median
53
Off the board right now. Numbers below anchor 53.5 — where the line usually lands.
2025 avg
54.4
17 games
Over 53.5
8-9
47%
Season total
924
receiving yards
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.5 | 15 | 2 | 88% |
| 40.5 | 12 | 5 | 71% |
| 53.5anchor | 8 | 9 | 47% |
| 66.5 | 6 | 11 | 35% |
| 78.5 | 3 | 14 | 18% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 53.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 57.5 | 4-4 (50%) |
| Road | 9 | 51.6 | 4-5 (44%) |
Every 2025 game — receiving yards
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receiving Yards | vs 53.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | 18 | vs Seattle Seahawks | 34 | Under |
| 2025-12-28 | 17 | vs Chicago Bears | 41 | Under |
| 2025-12-22 | 16 | @ Indianapolis Colts | 29 | Under |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | vs Tennessee Titans | 14 | Under |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | @ Cleveland Browns | 21 | Under |
| 2025-11-24 | 12 | vs Carolina Panthers | 53 | Under |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Arizona Cardinals | 40 | Under |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | vs Los Angeles Rams | 66 | Over |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ New York Giants | 67 | Over |
| 2025-10-26 | 8 | @ Houston Texans | 43 | Under |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs Atlanta Falcons | 72 | Over |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 57 | Over |
| 2025-10-02 | 5 | @ Los Angeles Rams | 82 | Over |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | 92 | Over |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | vs Arizona Cardinals | 88 | Over |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | @ New Orleans Saints | 52 | Under |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | @ Seattle Seahawks | 73 | Over |
Christian McCaffrey receiving yards — common questions
- How often does Christian McCaffrey go over 53.5 receiving yards?
- Christian McCaffrey went over 53.5 receiving yards in 8 of his 17 games in 2025 (47%), averaging 54.4 per game.
- What is Christian McCaffrey's receiving yards line?
- Christian McCaffrey has no receiving yards line posted right now. His 2025 median was 53 receiving yards, which is where the line typically lands.
- Does Christian McCaffrey do better at home or on the road?
- Christian McCaffrey averaged 57.5 receiving yards in 8 home games versus 51.6 in 9 road games during 2025.
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