Lions vs Saints Prop Hit Rates
Week 1 · Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET · 125 props on Underdog & PrizePicks
Every Lions vs Saints player prop on the board with its last-10 hit rate against the current line. Reads come from the same scorer as our slip grader: a TAKE means the under has a validated edge, a TRAP means the number is fighting the player's recent form, a coin flip means neither signal fired.
Top takes in this game
- Jahmyr Gibbsunder 120.5 rush + rec yds~60% to hitInflated number — 120.5 sits 8.6 above their last-10 average (111.9) and they've stayed under it in 7 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
- Jahmyr Gibbsunder 18.5 rush attempts~60% to hitInflated number — 18.5 sits 4.6 above their last-10 average (13.9) and they've stayed under it in 8 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
- Devaughn Veleunder 3.5 receptions~60% to hitInflated number — 3.5 sits 1.2 above their last-10 average (2.3) and they've stayed under it in 8 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
- Jahmyr Gibbsunder 82.5 rush yards~57% to hitInflated number — 82.5 sits 12.8 above their last-10 average (69.7) and they've stayed under it in 8 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
- Chris Olaveunder 6.5 receptions~53% to hitInflated number — 6.5 sits 0.4 above their last-10 average (6.1) and they've stayed under it in 6 of their last 10. You're not rooting against them — an average night for them cashes this; beating you takes an outlier game.
Detroit Lions props
| Player | Market | Line | L10 over | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff | Pass+Rush Yds | 266.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Pass Yards | 261.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Pass Attempts | 32.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Completions | 23.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Pass Tds | 1.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — | |
| Longest Completion | 36.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Pass INTs | 0.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | Rush + Rec Yds | 120.5 | 30% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Rush Yards | 82.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receiving Yards | 30.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Attempts | 18.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 40% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Longest Rush | 17.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 14.5 | — | — | |
| Last Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | Receiving Yards | 78.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receptions | 6.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 30% | COIN FLIP | |
| Longest Reception | 22.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Last Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Jameson Williams | Receiving Yards | 57.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 80% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Longest Reception | 23.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Sam LaPorta | Receiving Yards | 40.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 70% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Longest Reception | 17.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Tay Martin | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Brock Wright | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Isaac TeSlaa | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Jacob Saylors | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Tyler Conklin | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| Sione Vaki | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 0% | — |
| Jake Bates | Kicking Points | 7.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Xp Made | 2.5 | 70% | COIN FLIP | |
| FG Made | 1.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| FG Made | 1.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Aidan Hutchinson | Sacks | 0.8 | 60% | COIN FLIP |
| Sacks | 0.8 | 60% | COIN FLIP | |
| Chuck Clark | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
| D.J. Reed | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
| Avonte Maddox | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
New Orleans Saints props
| Player | Market | Line | L10 over | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Shough | Pass+Rush Yds | 261.5 | 60% | COIN FLIP |
| Pass+Rush Yds | 261.5 | 60% | COIN FLIP | |
| Pass Yards | 243.5 | 50% | COIN FLIP | |
| Pass Yards | 242.5 | 60% | COIN FLIP | |
| Pass Attempts | 32.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Pass Attempts | 32.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Pass Completions | 21.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Completions | 21.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 16.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Yards | 15.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Rush Attempts | 3.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Pass Tds | 1.5 | 30% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 20% | COIN FLIP | |
| Completion Percentage | 65.8 | — | — | |
| Longest Completion | 35.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Completion | 35.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 16 | 70% | COIN FLIP | |
| Longest Rush | 8.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Rush | 8.5 | — | — | |
| Completions in First 10 Pass Attempts | 6.5 | — | — | |
| Pass+Rush+Rec TDs | 1.5 | — | — | |
| INT | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Pass INTs | 0.5 | 60% | COIN FLIP | |
| Travis Etienne Jr. | Rush + Rec Yds | 79.5 | — | — |
| Rush+Rec Yds | 79.5 | — | — | |
| Rush Yards | 55.5 | — | — | |
| Rush Yards | 54.5 | — | — | |
| Receiving Yards | 20.5 | — | — | |
| Receiving Yards | 18.5 | — | — | |
| Rush Attempts | 15.5 | — | — | |
| Rush Attempts | 13.5 | — | — | |
| Receptions | 3.5 | — | — | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Rush Yards in First 5 Attempts | 18.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Rush | 12.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Rush | 12.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 12.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 11.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 11.5 | — | — | |
| Rush Yards Per Carry | 3.6 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Last Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Devaughn Vele | Receiving Yards | 34.5 | 40% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Receiving Yards | 34.5 | 40% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Longest Reception | 16.5 | — | — | |
| Longest Reception | 16.5 | — | — | |
| Fantasy Score | 7.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Chris Olave | Receiving Yards | 77.5 | 50% | TRAP · UNDER |
| Receptions | 6.5 | 40% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 60% | TRAP · UNDER | |
| Longest Reception | 23.5 | — | — | |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Last Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Noah Fant | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Bryce Lance | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | — | — |
| First Td Scorer | 0.5 | — | — | |
| Audric Estime | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 30% | COIN FLIP |
| Barion Brown | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | — | — |
| Kendre Miller | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | 10% | TAKE · UNDER |
| Oscar Delp | Rush + Rec Tds | 0.5 | — | — |
| Daniel Carlson | Kicking Points | 6.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER |
| FG Made | 1.5 | 20% | TAKE · UNDER | |
| Xp Made | 1.5 | 40% | COIN FLIP | |
| Julian Blackmon | Defensive Ints | 0.5 | — | — |
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