Jameson Williams Receptions Hit Rate
WR · DET · 2025 with Detroit Lions
Jameson Williams (DET) went over the current 3.5 line in 10 of his 17 games in 2025, averaging 3.8 receptions across 17 games.
This week: vs BUF — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
3.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs BUF
2025 avg
3.8
17 games
Over 3.5
10-7
59%
Season total
65
receptions
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 14 | 3 | 82% |
| 2.5 | 10 | 7 | 59% |
| 3.5current line | 10 | 7 | 59% |
| 4.5 | 7 | 10 | 41% |
| 5.5 | 6 | 11 | 35% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 3.4 | 4-4 (50%) |
| Road | 9 | 4.2 | 6-3 (67%) |
Every 2025 game — receptions
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receptions | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | @ Chicago Bears | 6 | Over |
| 2025-12-25 | 17 | @ Minnesota Vikings | 2 | Under |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | 5 | Over |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ Los Angeles Rams | 7 | Over |
| 2025-12-04 | 14 | vs Dallas Cowboys | 7 | Over |
| 2025-11-27 | 13 | vs Green Bay Packers | 7 | Over |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | vs New York Giants | 0 | Under |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 4 | Over |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | @ Washington Commanders | 6 | Over |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | vs Minnesota Vikings | 4 | Over |
| 2025-10-20 | 7 | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0 | Under |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | 6 | Over |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 1 | Under |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs Cleveland Browns | 2 | Under |
| 2025-09-22 | 3 | @ Baltimore Ravens | 2 | Under |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs Chicago Bears | 2 | Under |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | @ Green Bay Packers | 4 | Over |
Jameson Williams receptions — common questions
- How often does Jameson Williams go over 3.5 receptions?
- Jameson Williams went over 3.5 receptions in 10 of his 17 games in 2025 (59%), averaging 3.8 per game.
- What is Jameson Williams's receptions line?
- Jameson Williams's receptions line is 3.5 at PrizePicks vs the BUF.
- Does Jameson Williams do better at home or on the road?
- Jameson Williams averaged 4.2 receptions in 9 road games versus 3.4 in 8 home games during 2025.
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