Jalen Nailor Receptions Hit Rate
WR · LV · 2025 with Minnesota Vikings
Jalen Nailor (LV) went over the current 1.5 line in 8 of his 17 games in 2025, averaging 1.7 receptions across 17 games.
This week: vs MIA — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
1.5
On the board at Underdog vs MIA
2025 avg
1.7
17 games
Over 1.5
8-9
47%
Season total
29
receptions
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 12 | 5 | 71% |
| 1.5current line | 8 | 9 | 47% |
| 2.5 | 7 | 10 | 41% |
| 3.5 | 1 | 16 | 6% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 2.5 | 6-2 (75%) |
| Road | 9 | 1 | 2-7 (22%) |
Every 2025 game — receptions
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receptions | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs Green Bay Packers | 3 | Over |
| 2025-12-25 | 17 | vs Detroit Lions | 0 | Under |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ New York Giants | 0 | Under |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ Dallas Cowboys | 3 | Over |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs Washington Commanders | 3 | Over |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | @ Seattle Seahawks | 0 | Under |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | @ Green Bay Packers | 0 | Under |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | vs Chicago Bears | 1 | Under |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | vs Baltimore Ravens | 5 | Over |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ Detroit Lions | 1 | Under |
| 2025-10-23 | 8 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | 0 | Under |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | Over |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | @ Cleveland Browns | 3 | Over |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 1 | Under |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | Over |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs Atlanta Falcons | 3 | Over |
| 2025-09-08 | 1 | @ Chicago Bears | 1 | Under |
Jalen Nailor receptions — common questions
- How often does Jalen Nailor go over 1.5 receptions?
- Jalen Nailor went over 1.5 receptions in 8 of his 17 games in 2025 (47%), averaging 1.7 per game.
- What is Jalen Nailor's receptions line?
- Jalen Nailor's receptions line is 1.5 at Underdog vs the MIA.
- Does Jalen Nailor do better at home or on the road?
- Jalen Nailor averaged 2.5 receptions in 8 home games versus 1 in 9 road games during 2025.
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