Dawson Knox Receiving Yards Hit Rate
TE · Buffalo Bills
Dawson Knox (Buffalo Bills) went over the current 15.5 line in 12 of his 16 games in 2025, averaging 26.1 receiving yards across 16 games.
This week: vs Houston Texans — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
15.5
On the board at Underdog vs Houston Texans
2025 avg
26.1
16 games
Over 15.5
12-4
75%
Season total
417
receiving yards
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 15 | 1 | 94% |
| 15.5current line | 12 | 4 | 75% |
| 28.5 | 5 | 11 | 31% |
| 40.5 | 1 | 15 | 6% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 29.4 | 6-2 (75%) |
| Road | 8 | 22.8 | 6-2 (75%) |
Every 2025 game — receiving yards
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receiving Yards | vs 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs New York Jets | 24 | Over |
| 2025-12-28 | 17 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 30 | Over |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ Cleveland Browns | 10 | Under |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ New England Patriots | 37 | Over |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | 93 | Over |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 28 | Over |
| 2025-11-20 | 12 | @ Houston Texans | 17 | Over |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 23 | Over |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | @ Miami Dolphins | 37 | Over |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | 30 | Over |
| 2025-10-26 | 8 | @ Carolina Panthers | 15 | Under |
| 2025-10-13 | 6 | @ Atlanta Falcons | 19 | Over |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | vs New England Patriots | 15 | Under |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs New Orleans Saints | 0 | Under |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | @ New York Jets | 19 | Over |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | vs Baltimore Ravens | 20 | Over |
Dawson Knox receiving yards — common questions
- How often does Dawson Knox go over 15.5 receiving yards?
- Dawson Knox went over 15.5 receiving yards in 12 of his 16 games in 2025 (75%), averaging 26.1 per game.
- What is Dawson Knox's receiving yards line?
- Dawson Knox's receiving yards line is 15.5 at Underdog vs the Houston Texans.
- Does Dawson Knox do better at home or on the road?
- Dawson Knox averaged 29.4 receiving yards in 8 home games versus 22.8 in 8 road games during 2025.
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