Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Hit Rate
TE · Buffalo Bills
Dalton Kincaid (Buffalo Bills) went over the current 35.5 line in 8 of his 12 games in 2025, averaging 47.6 receiving yards across 12 games.
This week: vs Houston Texans — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
35.5
On the board at Underdog vs Houston Texans
2025 avg
47.6
12 games
Over 35.5
8-4
67%
Season total
571
receiving yards
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 11 | 1 | 92% |
| 22.5 | 11 | 1 | 92% |
| 35.5current line | 8 | 4 | 67% |
| 48.5 | 3 | 9 | 25% |
| 60.5 | 3 | 9 | 25% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 35.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7 | 62.9 | 6-1 (86%) |
| Road | 5 | 26.2 | 2-3 (40%) |
Every 2025 game — receiving yards
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receiving Yards | vs 35.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs New York Jets | 48 | Over |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ Cleveland Browns | 0 | Under |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ New England Patriots | 34 | Under |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | 41 | Over |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | @ Miami Dolphins | 37 | Over |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | 101 | Over |
| 2025-10-26 | 8 | @ Carolina Panthers | 23 | Under |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | vs New England Patriots | 108 | Over |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs New Orleans Saints | 28 | Under |
| 2025-09-18 | 3 | vs Miami Dolphins | 66 | Over |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | @ New York Jets | 37 | Over |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | vs Baltimore Ravens | 48 | Over |
Dalton Kincaid receiving yards — common questions
- How often does Dalton Kincaid go over 35.5 receiving yards?
- Dalton Kincaid went over 35.5 receiving yards in 8 of his 12 games in 2025 (67%), averaging 47.6 per game.
- What is Dalton Kincaid's receiving yards line?
- Dalton Kincaid's receiving yards line is 35.5 at Underdog vs the Houston Texans.
- Does Dalton Kincaid do better at home or on the road?
- Dalton Kincaid averaged 62.9 receiving yards in 7 home games versus 26.2 in 5 road games during 2025.
Got this leg in a slip?
Drop your PrizePicks or Underdog slip in the grader — verdict on every leg in seconds, free.
Grade my slipNFL Season Pass — $49
Every hit rate, every board, unlimited slip grades — now through the Super Bowl. One payment, no renewal.