Zach Ertz Receiving Yards Prop
TE · Washington Commanders
Zach Ertz (Washington Commanders) went over 38.5 — where his line lands when it posts in 6 of his 13 games in 2025, averaging 38.8 receiving yards across 13 games.
2025 median
38
Off the board right now. Numbers below anchor 38.5 — where the line usually lands.
2025 avg
38.8
13 games
Over 38.5
6-7
46%
Season total
504
receiving yards
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5 | 11 | 2 | 85% |
| 25.5 | 9 | 4 | 69% |
| 38.5anchor | 6 | 7 | 46% |
| 51.5 | 3 | 10 | 23% |
| 63.5 | 2 | 11 | 15% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 38.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6 | 52.2 | 4-2 (67%) |
| Road | 6 | 24.8 | 1-5 (17%) |
Every 2025 game — receiving yards
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receiving Yards | vs 38.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | @ Minnesota Vikings | 11 | Under |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | vs Denver Broncos | 106 | Over |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | Miami Dolphins | 42 | Over |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | vs Detroit Lions | 54 | Over |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | vs Seattle Seahawks | 46 | Over |
| 2025-10-27 | 8 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | 16 | Under |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | @ Dallas Cowboys | 37 | Under |
| 2025-10-13 | 6 | vs Chicago Bears | 43 | Over |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | 0 | Under |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | @ Atlanta Falcons | 21 | Under |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | 38 | Under |
| 2025-09-11 | 2 | @ Green Bay Packers | 64 | Over |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | vs New York Giants | 26 | Under |
Zach Ertz receiving yards — common questions
- How often does Zach Ertz go over 38.5 receiving yards?
- Zach Ertz went over 38.5 receiving yards in 6 of his 13 games in 2025 (46%), averaging 38.8 per game.
- What is Zach Ertz's receiving yards line?
- Zach Ertz has no receiving yards line posted right now. His 2025 median was 38 receiving yards, which is where the line typically lands.
- Does Zach Ertz do better at home or on the road?
- Zach Ertz averaged 52.2 receiving yards in 6 home games versus 24.8 in 6 road games during 2025.
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