Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Hit Rate
QB · KC
Patrick Mahomes (KC) went over the current 199.5 line in 5 of his 7 games in 2026, averaging 256.4 passing yards across 7 games.
This week: vs NYJ — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
199.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs NYJ
2026 avg
256.4
7 games
Over 199.5
5-2
71%
Season total
1795
passing yards
Hit rate by line — 2026 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 174.5 | 6 | 1 | 86% |
| 186.5 | 5 | 2 | 71% |
| 199.5current line | 5 | 2 | 71% |
| 212.5 | 5 | 2 | 71% |
| 224.5 | 5 | 2 | 71% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 199.5 |
|---|
Every 2026 game — passing yards
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Passing Yards | vs 199.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | 8 | DEN | 321 | Over |
| 2026-10-25 | 7 | SEA | 165 | Under |
| 2026-10-18 | 6 | LAC | 272 | Over |
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | LV | 225 | Over |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | MIA | 246 | Over |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | IND | 382 | Over |
| 2026-09-14 | 1 | DEN | 184 | Under |
Patrick Mahomes passing yards — common questions
- How often does Patrick Mahomes go over 199.5 passing yards?
- Patrick Mahomes went over 199.5 passing yards in 5 of his 7 games in 2026 (71%), averaging 256.4 per game.
- What is Patrick Mahomes's passing yards line?
- Patrick Mahomes's passing yards line is 199.5 at PrizePicks vs the NYJ.
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