Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop
QB · Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) went over the current 238.5 line in 10 of his 14 games in 2025, averaging 256.2 passing yards across 14 games.
Current line
238.5
On the board at Underdog vs Denver Broncos
2025 avg
256.2
14 games
Over 238.5
10-4
71%
Season total
3587
passing yards
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 213.5 | 11 | 3 | 79% |
| 225.5 | 10 | 4 | 71% |
| 238.5current line | 10 | 4 | 71% |
| 251.5 | 9 | 5 | 64% |
| 263.5 | 6 | 8 | 43% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 238.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 250 | 5-3 (63%) |
| Road | 6 | 264.5 | 5-1 (83%) |
Every 2025 game — passing yards
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Passing Yards | vs 238.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | 189 | Under |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs Houston Texans | 160 | Under |
| 2025-11-27 | 13 | @ Dallas Cowboys | 261 | Over |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | vs Indianapolis Colts | 352 | Over |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Denver Broncos | 276 | Over |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ Buffalo Bills | 250 | Over |
| 2025-10-27 | 8 | vs Washington Commanders | 299 | Over |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | 286 | Over |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | vs Detroit Lions | 257 | Over |
| 2025-10-06 | 5 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | 318 | Over |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs Baltimore Ravens | 270 | Over |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | @ New York Giants | 224 | Under |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 187 | Under |
| 2025-09-05 | 1 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | 258 | Over |
Patrick Mahomes passing yards — common questions
- How often does Patrick Mahomes go over 238.5 passing yards?
- Patrick Mahomes went over 238.5 passing yards in 10 of his 14 games in 2025 (71%), averaging 256.2 per game.
- What is Patrick Mahomes's passing yards line?
- Patrick Mahomes's passing yards line is 238.5 at Underdog vs the Denver Broncos.
- Does Patrick Mahomes do better at home or on the road?
- Patrick Mahomes averaged 264.5 passing yards in 6 road games versus 250 in 8 home games during 2025.
Got this leg in a slip?
Drop your PrizePicks or Underdog slip in the grader — verdict on every leg in seconds, free.
Grade my slip