Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Hit Rate
QB · KC · 2025 with Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes (KC) went over the current 230.5 line in 10 of his 14 games in 2025, averaging 256.2 passing yards across 14 games.
This week: vs DEN — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
230.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs DEN
2025 avg
256.2
14 games
Over 230.5
10-4
71%
Season total
3587
passing yards
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 205.5 | 11 | 3 | 79% |
| 217.5 | 11 | 3 | 79% |
| 230.5current line | 10 | 4 | 71% |
| 243.5 | 10 | 4 | 71% |
| 255.5 | 9 | 5 | 64% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 230.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 250 | 5-3 (63%) |
| Road | 6 | 264.5 | 5-1 (83%) |
Every 2025 game — passing yards
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Passing Yards | vs 230.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | 189 | Under |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs Houston Texans | 160 | Under |
| 2025-11-27 | 13 | @ Dallas Cowboys | 261 | Over |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | vs Indianapolis Colts | 352 | Over |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Denver Broncos | 276 | Over |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ Buffalo Bills | 250 | Over |
| 2025-10-27 | 8 | vs Washington Commanders | 299 | Over |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | 286 | Over |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | vs Detroit Lions | 257 | Over |
| 2025-10-06 | 5 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | 318 | Over |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs Baltimore Ravens | 270 | Over |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | @ New York Giants | 224 | Under |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 187 | Under |
| 2025-09-05 | 1 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | 258 | Over |
Patrick Mahomes passing yards — common questions
- How often does Patrick Mahomes go over 230.5 passing yards?
- Patrick Mahomes went over 230.5 passing yards in 10 of his 14 games in 2025 (71%), averaging 256.2 per game.
- What is Patrick Mahomes's passing yards line?
- Patrick Mahomes's passing yards line is 230.5 at PrizePicks vs the DEN.
- Does Patrick Mahomes do better at home or on the road?
- Patrick Mahomes averaged 264.5 passing yards in 6 road games versus 250 in 8 home games during 2025.
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