Patrick Mahomes Passing TDs Hit Rate
QB · KC
Patrick Mahomes (KC) went over the current 2.5 line in 2 of his 7 games in 2026, averaging 1.7 passing tds across 7 games.
This week: vs NYJ — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
2.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs NYJ
2026 avg
1.7
7 games
Over 2.5
2-5
29%
Season total
12
passing tds
Hit rate by line — 2026 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 5 | 2 | 71% |
| 1.5 | 5 | 2 | 71% |
| 2.5current line | 2 | 5 | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0 | 7 | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0 | 7 | 0% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 2.5 |
|---|
Every 2026 game — passing tds
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Passing TDs | vs 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | 8 | DEN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-10-25 | 7 | SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-10-18 | 6 | LAC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-10-04 | 4 | LV | 2 | Under |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | MIA | 2 | Under |
| 2026-09-20 | 2 | IND | 3 | Over |
| 2026-09-14 | 1 | DEN | 2 | Under |
Patrick Mahomes passing tds — common questions
- How often does Patrick Mahomes go over 2.5 passing tds?
- Patrick Mahomes went over 2.5 passing tds in 2 of his 7 games in 2026 (29%), averaging 1.7 per game.
- What is Patrick Mahomes's passing tds line?
- Patrick Mahomes's passing tds line is 2.5 at PrizePicks vs the NYJ.
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