Patrick Mahomes Passing TDs Prop
QB · Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) went over the current 1.5 line in 5 of his 14 games in 2025, averaging 1.6 passing tds across 14 games.
Current line
1.5
On the board at Underdog vs Denver Broncos
2025 avg
1.6
14 games
Over 1.5
5-9
36%
Season total
22
passing tds
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 10 | 4 | 71% |
| 1.5current line | 5 | 9 | 36% |
| 2.5 | 5 | 9 | 36% |
| 3.5 | 2 | 12 | 14% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 1.8 | 4-4 (50%) |
| Road | 6 | 1.3 | 1-5 (17%) |
Every 2025 game — passing tds
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Passing TDs | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | 0 | Under |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs Houston Texans | 0 | Under |
| 2025-11-27 | 13 | @ Dallas Cowboys | 4 | Over |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | vs Indianapolis Colts | 0 | Under |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Denver Broncos | 1 | Under |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ Buffalo Bills | 0 | Under |
| 2025-10-27 | 8 | vs Washington Commanders | 3 | Over |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | Over |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | vs Detroit Lions | 3 | Over |
| 2025-10-06 | 5 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | Under |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs Baltimore Ravens | 4 | Over |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | @ New York Giants | 1 | Under |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 1 | Under |
| 2025-09-05 | 1 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | 1 | Under |
Patrick Mahomes passing tds — common questions
- How often does Patrick Mahomes go over 1.5 passing tds?
- Patrick Mahomes went over 1.5 passing tds in 5 of his 14 games in 2025 (36%), averaging 1.6 per game.
- What is Patrick Mahomes's passing tds line?
- Patrick Mahomes's passing tds line is 1.5 at Underdog vs the Denver Broncos.
- Does Patrick Mahomes do better at home or on the road?
- Patrick Mahomes averaged 1.8 passing tds in 8 home games versus 1.3 in 6 road games during 2025.
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