Justin Herbert Passing Yards Hit Rate
QB · Los Angeles Chargers
Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) went over 231.5 — where his line lands when it posts in 8 of his 16 games in 2025, averaging 232.9 passing yards across 16 games.
2025 median
231.5
Off the board right now. Numbers below anchor 231.5 — where the line usually lands.
2025 avg
232.9
16 games
Over 231.5
8-8
50%
Season total
3727
passing yards
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 206.5 | 11 | 5 | 69% |
| 218.5 | 10 | 6 | 63% |
| 231.5anchor | 8 | 8 | 50% |
| 244.5 | 6 | 10 | 38% |
| 256.5 | 5 | 11 | 31% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 231.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9 | 241.9 | 4-5 (44%) |
| Road | 7 | 221.4 | 4-3 (57%) |
Every 2025 game — passing yards
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Passing Yards | vs 231.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-27 | 17 | vs Houston Texans | 236 | Over |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ Dallas Cowboys | 300 | Over |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | 210 | Under |
| 2025-12-08 | 14 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 139 | Under |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | 151 | Under |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | 81 | Under |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | 220 | Under |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ Tennessee Titans | 250 | Over |
| 2025-10-23 | 8 | vs Minnesota Vikings | 227 | Under |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs Indianapolis Colts | 420 | Over |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | @ Miami Dolphins | 264 | Over |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | vs Washington Commanders | 166 | Under |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | @ New York Giants | 203 | Under |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | vs Denver Broncos | 300 | Over |
| 2025-09-15 | 2 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | 242 | Over |
| 2025-09-05 | 1 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | 318 | Over |
Justin Herbert passing yards — common questions
- How often does Justin Herbert go over 231.5 passing yards?
- Justin Herbert went over 231.5 passing yards in 8 of his 16 games in 2025 (50%), averaging 232.9 per game.
- What is Justin Herbert's passing yards line?
- Justin Herbert has no passing yards line posted right now. His 2025 median was 231.5 passing yards, which is where the line typically lands.
- Does Justin Herbert do better at home or on the road?
- Justin Herbert averaged 241.9 passing yards in 9 home games versus 221.4 in 7 road games during 2025.
Got this leg in a slip?
Drop your PrizePicks or Underdog slip in the grader — verdict on every leg in seconds, free.
Grade my slipNFL Season Pass — $49
Every hit rate, every board, unlimited slip grades — now through the Super Bowl. One payment, no renewal.