Justin Herbert Passing Yards Hit Rate
QB · LAC · 2025 with Los Angeles Chargers
Justin Herbert (LAC) went over the current 215.5 line in 10 of his 16 games in 2025, averaging 232.9 passing yards across 16 games.
This week: vs BUF — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
215.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs BUF
2025 avg
232.9
16 games
Over 215.5
10-6
63%
Season total
3727
passing yards
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 190.5 | 12 | 4 | 75% |
| 202.5 | 12 | 4 | 75% |
| 215.5current line | 10 | 6 | 63% |
| 228.5 | 8 | 8 | 50% |
| 240.5 | 7 | 9 | 44% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 215.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9 | 241.9 | 6-3 (67%) |
| Road | 7 | 221.4 | 4-3 (57%) |
Every 2025 game — passing yards
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Passing Yards | vs 215.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-27 | 17 | vs Houston Texans | 236 | Over |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ Dallas Cowboys | 300 | Over |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | 210 | Under |
| 2025-12-08 | 14 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 139 | Under |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | 151 | Under |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | 81 | Under |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | 220 | Over |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ Tennessee Titans | 250 | Over |
| 2025-10-23 | 8 | vs Minnesota Vikings | 227 | Over |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs Indianapolis Colts | 420 | Over |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | @ Miami Dolphins | 264 | Over |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | vs Washington Commanders | 166 | Under |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | @ New York Giants | 203 | Under |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | vs Denver Broncos | 300 | Over |
| 2025-09-15 | 2 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | 242 | Over |
| 2025-09-05 | 1 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | 318 | Over |
Justin Herbert passing yards — common questions
- How often does Justin Herbert go over 215.5 passing yards?
- Justin Herbert went over 215.5 passing yards in 10 of his 16 games in 2025 (63%), averaging 232.9 per game.
- What is Justin Herbert's passing yards line?
- Justin Herbert's passing yards line is 215.5 at PrizePicks vs the BUF.
- Does Justin Herbert do better at home or on the road?
- Justin Herbert averaged 241.9 passing yards in 9 home games versus 221.4 in 7 road games during 2025.
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