Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards Hit Rate
TE · DAL · 2025 with Dallas Cowboys
Jake Ferguson (DAL) went over the current 69.5 line in 2 of his 17 games in 2025, averaging 35.3 receiving yards across 17 games.
This week: vs BAL — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
69.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs BAL
2025 avg
35.3
17 games
Over 69.5
2-15
12%
Season total
600
receiving yards
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44.5 | 6 | 11 | 35% |
| 56.5 | 4 | 13 | 24% |
| 69.5current line | 2 | 15 | 12% |
| 82.5 | 0 | 17 | 0% |
| 94.5 | 0 | 17 | 0% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 69.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 41 | 1-7 (13%) |
| Road | 9 | 30.2 | 1-8 (11%) |
Every 2025 game — receiving yards
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receiving Yards | vs 69.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | @ New York Giants | 5 | Under |
| 2025-12-25 | 17 | @ Washington Commanders | 6 | Under |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | 19 | Under |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | vs Minnesota Vikings | 16 | Under |
| 2025-12-04 | 14 | @ Detroit Lions | 58 | Under |
| 2025-11-27 | 13 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | 36 | Under |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 60 | Under |
| 2025-11-17 | 11 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | 16 | Under |
| 2025-11-03 | 9 | vs Arizona Cardinals | 50 | Under |
| 2025-10-26 | 8 | @ Denver Broncos | 0 | Under |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs Washington Commanders | 29 | Under |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | @ Carolina Panthers | 33 | Under |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | @ New York Jets | 49 | Under |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs Green Bay Packers | 40 | Under |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | @ Chicago Bears | 82 | Over |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs New York Giants | 78 | Over |
| 2025-09-04 | 1 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 23 | Under |
Jake Ferguson receiving yards — common questions
- How often does Jake Ferguson go over 69.5 receiving yards?
- Jake Ferguson went over 69.5 receiving yards in 2 of his 17 games in 2025 (12%), averaging 35.3 per game.
- What is Jake Ferguson's receiving yards line?
- Jake Ferguson's receiving yards line is 69.5 at PrizePicks vs the BAL.
- Does Jake Ferguson do better at home or on the road?
- Jake Ferguson averaged 41 receiving yards in 8 home games versus 30.2 in 9 road games during 2025.
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