Dawson Knox Receptions Hit Rate
TE · BUF · 2025 with Buffalo Bills
Dawson Knox (BUF) went over the current 1.5 line in 10 of his 16 games in 2025, averaging 2.3 receptions across 16 games.
This week: vs LAC — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
1.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs LAC
2025 avg
2.3
16 games
Over 1.5
10-6
63%
Season total
36
receptions
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 15 | 1 | 94% |
| 1.5current line | 10 | 6 | 63% |
| 2.5 | 6 | 10 | 38% |
| 3.5 | 2 | 14 | 13% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 2.4 | 5-3 (63%) |
| Road | 8 | 2.1 | 5-3 (63%) |
Every 2025 game — receptions
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receptions | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs New York Jets | 2 | Over |
| 2025-12-28 | 17 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 5 | Over |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ Cleveland Browns | 1 | Under |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ New England Patriots | 3 | Over |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | 6 | Over |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | Over |
| 2025-11-20 | 12 | @ Houston Texans | 3 | Over |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1 | Under |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | @ Miami Dolphins | 3 | Over |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | 1 | Under |
| 2025-10-26 | 8 | @ Carolina Panthers | 1 | Under |
| 2025-10-13 | 6 | @ Atlanta Falcons | 1 | Under |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | vs New England Patriots | 2 | Over |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs New Orleans Saints | 0 | Under |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | @ New York Jets | 2 | Over |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | vs Baltimore Ravens | 2 | Over |
Dawson Knox receptions — common questions
- How often does Dawson Knox go over 1.5 receptions?
- Dawson Knox went over 1.5 receptions in 10 of his 16 games in 2025 (63%), averaging 2.3 per game.
- What is Dawson Knox's receptions line?
- Dawson Knox's receptions line is 1.5 at PrizePicks vs the LAC.
- Does Dawson Knox do better at home or on the road?
- Dawson Knox averaged 2.4 receptions in 8 home games versus 2.1 in 8 road games during 2025.
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