Dalton Kincaid Receptions Prop
TE · Buffalo Bills
Dalton Kincaid (Buffalo Bills) went over 3.5 — where his line lands when it posts in 6 of his 12 games in 2025, averaging 3.3 receptions across 12 games.
2025 median
3.5
Off the board right now. Numbers below anchor 3.5 — where the line usually lands.
2025 avg
3.3
12 games
Over 3.5
6-6
50%
Season total
39
receptions
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 9 | 3 | 75% |
| 2.5 | 8 | 4 | 67% |
| 3.5anchor | 6 | 6 | 50% |
| 4.5 | 3 | 9 | 25% |
| 5.5 | 2 | 10 | 17% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7 | 4.1 | 5-2 (71%) |
| Road | 5 | 2 | 1-4 (20%) |
Every 2025 game — receptions
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receptions | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs New York Jets | 3 | Under |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ Cleveland Browns | 0 | Under |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ New England Patriots | 3 | Under |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | Over |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | @ Miami Dolphins | 2 | Under |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | 6 | Over |
| 2025-10-26 | 8 | @ Carolina Panthers | 1 | Under |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | vs New England Patriots | 6 | Over |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs New Orleans Saints | 1 | Under |
| 2025-09-18 | 3 | vs Miami Dolphins | 5 | Over |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | @ New York Jets | 4 | Over |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | vs Baltimore Ravens | 4 | Over |
Dalton Kincaid receptions — common questions
- How often does Dalton Kincaid go over 3.5 receptions?
- Dalton Kincaid went over 3.5 receptions in 6 of his 12 games in 2025 (50%), averaging 3.3 per game.
- What is Dalton Kincaid's receptions line?
- Dalton Kincaid has no receptions line posted right now. His 2025 median was 3.5 receptions, which is where the line typically lands.
- Does Dalton Kincaid do better at home or on the road?
- Dalton Kincaid averaged 4.1 receptions in 7 home games versus 2 in 5 road games during 2025.
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