Caleb Williams Passing TDs Hit Rate
QB · CHI · 2025 with Chicago Bears
Caleb Williams (CHI) went over the current 1.5 line in 9 of his 17 games in 2025, averaging 1.6 passing tds across 17 games.
This week: vs MIN — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
1.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs MIN
2025 avg
1.6
17 games
Over 1.5
9-8
53%
Season total
27
passing tds
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 14 | 3 | 82% |
| 1.5current line | 9 | 8 | 53% |
| 2.5 | 3 | 14 | 18% |
| 3.5 | 1 | 16 | 6% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 1.9 | 5-3 (63%) |
| Road | 9 | 1.3 | 4-5 (44%) |
Every 2025 game — passing tds
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Passing TDs | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs Detroit Lions | 2 | Over |
| 2025-12-28 | 17 | @ San Francisco 49ers | 2 | Over |
| 2025-12-20 | 16 | vs Green Bay Packers | 2 | Over |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | vs Cleveland Browns | 2 | Over |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | @ Green Bay Packers | 2 | Over |
| 2025-11-28 | 13 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 1 | Under |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | Over |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Minnesota Vikings | 0 | Under |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | vs New York Giants | 1 | Under |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | Over |
| 2025-10-26 | 8 | @ Baltimore Ravens | 0 | Under |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs New Orleans Saints | 0 | Under |
| 2025-10-13 | 6 | @ Washington Commanders | 1 | Under |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | 1 | Under |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | vs Dallas Cowboys | 4 | Over |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | @ Detroit Lions | 2 | Over |
| 2025-09-08 | 1 | vs Minnesota Vikings | 1 | Under |
Caleb Williams passing tds — common questions
- How often does Caleb Williams go over 1.5 passing tds?
- Caleb Williams went over 1.5 passing tds in 9 of his 17 games in 2025 (53%), averaging 1.6 per game.
- What is Caleb Williams's passing tds line?
- Caleb Williams's passing tds line is 1.5 at PrizePicks vs the MIN.
- Does Caleb Williams do better at home or on the road?
- Caleb Williams averaged 1.9 passing tds in 8 home games versus 1.3 in 9 road games during 2025.
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