Brian Thomas Jr. Receiving Yards Hit Rate
WR · JAC · 2025 with Jacksonville Jaguars
Brian Thomas Jr. (JAC) went over the current 40.5 line in 9 of his 14 games in 2025, averaging 50.5 receiving yards across 14 games.
This week: vs DEN — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
40.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs DEN
2025 avg
50.5
14 games
Over 40.5
9-5
64%
Season total
707
receiving yards
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 13 | 1 | 93% |
| 27.5 | 12 | 2 | 86% |
| 40.5current line | 9 | 5 | 64% |
| 53.5 | 6 | 8 | 43% |
| 65.5 | 4 | 10 | 29% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 40.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 58.6 | 6-2 (75%) |
| Road | 6 | 39.7 | 3-3 (50%) |
Every 2025 game — receiving yards
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receiving Yards | vs 40.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs Tennessee Titans | 49 | Over |
| 2025-12-28 | 17 | @ Indianapolis Colts | 39 | Under |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ Denver Broncos | 18 | Under |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | vs New York Jets | 66 | Over |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs Indianapolis Colts | 87 | Over |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | @ Tennessee Titans | 28 | Under |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | 55 | Over |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs Los Angeles Rams | 31 | Under |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | vs Seattle Seahawks | 90 | Over |
| 2025-10-06 | 5 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | 80 | Over |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | @ San Francisco 49ers | 49 | Over |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | vs Houston Texans | 55 | Over |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 49 | Over |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | vs Carolina Panthers | 11 | Under |
Brian Thomas Jr. receiving yards — common questions
- How often does Brian Thomas Jr. go over 40.5 receiving yards?
- Brian Thomas Jr. went over 40.5 receiving yards in 9 of his 14 games in 2025 (64%), averaging 50.5 per game.
- What is Brian Thomas Jr.'s receiving yards line?
- Brian Thomas Jr.'s receiving yards line is 40.5 at PrizePicks vs the DEN.
- Does Brian Thomas Jr. do better at home or on the road?
- Brian Thomas Jr. averaged 58.6 receiving yards in 8 home games versus 39.7 in 6 road games during 2025.
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