Brashard Smith Receptions Hit Rate
RB · KC · 2025 with Kansas City Chiefs
Brashard Smith (KC) went over the current 3.5 line in 1 of his 12 games in 2025, averaging 2.1 receptions across 12 games.
This week: vs DEN — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
3.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs DEN
2025 avg
2.1
12 games
Over 3.5
1-11
8%
Season total
25
receptions
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 8 | 4 | 67% |
| 2.5 | 6 | 6 | 50% |
| 3.5current line | 1 | 11 | 8% |
| 4.5 | 1 | 11 | 8% |
| 5.5 | 0 | 12 | 0% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6 | 2.8 | 1-5 (17%) |
| Road | 6 | 1.3 | 0-6 (0%) |
Every 2025 game — receptions
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receptions | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | Under |
| 2025-12-25 | 17 | vs Denver Broncos | 3 | Under |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ Tennessee Titans | 1 | Under |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | vs Indianapolis Colts | 3 | Under |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Denver Broncos | 2 | Under |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ Buffalo Bills | 0 | Under |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | Over |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | vs Detroit Lions | 3 | Under |
| 2025-10-06 | 5 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | 3 | Under |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs Baltimore Ravens | 3 | Under |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | @ New York Giants | 0 | Under |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 0 | Under |
Brashard Smith receptions — common questions
- How often does Brashard Smith go over 3.5 receptions?
- Brashard Smith went over 3.5 receptions in 1 of his 12 games in 2025 (8%), averaging 2.1 per game.
- What is Brashard Smith's receptions line?
- Brashard Smith's receptions line is 3.5 at PrizePicks vs the DEN.
- Does Brashard Smith do better at home or on the road?
- Brashard Smith averaged 2.8 receptions in 6 home games versus 1.3 in 6 road games during 2025.
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