Travis Kelce Receptions Hit Rate
TE · KC · 2025 with Kansas City Chiefs
Travis Kelce (KC) went over the current 5.5 line in 5 of his 17 games in 2025, averaging 4.5 receptions across 17 games.
This week: vs DEN — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
5.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs DEN
2025 avg
4.5
17 games
Over 5.5
5-12
29%
Season total
76
receptions
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 12 | 5 | 71% |
| 4.5 | 8 | 9 | 47% |
| 5.5current line | 5 | 12 | 29% |
| 6.5 | 3 | 14 | 18% |
| 7.5 | 1 | 16 | 6% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 5.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9 | 4.6 | 3-6 (33%) |
| Road | 8 | 4.4 | 2-6 (25%) |
Every 2025 game — receptions
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receptions | vs 5.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | Under |
| 2025-12-25 | 17 | vs Denver Broncos | 5 | Under |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ Tennessee Titans | 1 | Under |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | 7 | Over |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs Houston Texans | 1 | Under |
| 2025-11-27 | 13 | @ Dallas Cowboys | 5 | Under |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | vs Indianapolis Colts | 4 | Under |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Denver Broncos | 9 | Over |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ Buffalo Bills | 4 | Under |
| 2025-10-27 | 8 | vs Washington Commanders | 6 | Over |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | Under |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | vs Detroit Lions | 6 | Over |
| 2025-10-06 | 5 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | 7 | Over |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs Baltimore Ravens | 5 | Under |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | @ New York Giants | 4 | Under |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 4 | Under |
| 2025-09-05 | 1 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | Under |
Travis Kelce receptions — common questions
- How often does Travis Kelce go over 5.5 receptions?
- Travis Kelce went over 5.5 receptions in 5 of his 17 games in 2025 (29%), averaging 4.5 per game.
- What is Travis Kelce's receptions line?
- Travis Kelce's receptions line is 5.5 at PrizePicks vs the DEN.
- Does Travis Kelce do better at home or on the road?
- Travis Kelce averaged 4.6 receptions in 9 home games versus 4.4 in 8 road games during 2025.
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