Baker Mayfield Passing TDs Hit Rate
QB · TB · 2025 with Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Baker Mayfield (TB) went over the current 1.5 line in 8 of his 17 games in 2025, averaging 1.5 passing tds across 17 games.
This week: vs MIN — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
1.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs MIN
2025 avg
1.5
17 games
Over 1.5
8-9
47%
Season total
26
passing tds
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 16 | 1 | 94% |
| 1.5current line | 8 | 9 | 47% |
| 2.5 | 2 | 15 | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0 | 17 | 0% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 1.6 | 4-4 (50%) |
| Road | 9 | 1.4 | 4-5 (44%) |
Every 2025 game — passing tds
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Passing TDs | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | 18 | vs Carolina Panthers | 1 | Under |
| 2025-12-28 | 17 | @ Miami Dolphins | 2 | Over |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ Carolina Panthers | 1 | Under |
| 2025-12-11 | 15 | vs Atlanta Falcons | 2 | Over |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs New Orleans Saints | 1 | Under |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | vs Arizona Cardinals | 1 | Under |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | @ Los Angeles Rams | 1 | Under |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Buffalo Bills | 1 | Under |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | vs New England Patriots | 3 | Over |
| 2025-10-26 | 8 | @ New Orleans Saints | 0 | Under |
| 2025-10-20 | 7 | @ Detroit Lions | 1 | Under |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | vs San Francisco 49ers | 2 | Over |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | @ Seattle Seahawks | 2 | Over |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | Over |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | vs New York Jets | 1 | Under |
| 2025-09-15 | 2 | @ Houston Texans | 2 | Over |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | @ Atlanta Falcons | 3 | Over |
Baker Mayfield passing tds — common questions
- How often does Baker Mayfield go over 1.5 passing tds?
- Baker Mayfield went over 1.5 passing tds in 8 of his 17 games in 2025 (47%), averaging 1.5 per game.
- What is Baker Mayfield's passing tds line?
- Baker Mayfield's passing tds line is 1.5 at PrizePicks vs the MIN.
- Does Baker Mayfield do better at home or on the road?
- Baker Mayfield averaged 1.6 passing tds in 8 home games versus 1.4 in 9 road games during 2025.
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