Sterling Shepard Receptions Prop
WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sterling Shepard (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) went over 3.5 — where his line lands when it posts in 5 of his 13 games in 2025, averaging 3 receptions across 13 games.
2025 median
3
Off the board right now. Numbers below anchor 3.5 — where the line usually lands.
2025 avg
3
13 games
Over 3.5
5-8
38%
Season total
39
receptions
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 10 | 3 | 77% |
| 2.5 | 8 | 5 | 62% |
| 3.5anchor | 5 | 8 | 38% |
| 4.5 | 1 | 12 | 8% |
| 5.5 | 1 | 12 | 8% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6 | 2.2 | 1-5 (17%) |
| Road | 7 | 3.7 | 4-3 (57%) |
Every 2025 game — receptions
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receptions | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs New Orleans Saints | 1 | Under |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | vs Arizona Cardinals | 1 | Under |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | @ Los Angeles Rams | 3 | Under |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Buffalo Bills | 4 | Over |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | vs New England Patriots | 3 | Under |
| 2025-10-26 | 8 | @ New Orleans Saints | 1 | Under |
| 2025-10-20 | 7 | @ Detroit Lions | 7 | Over |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | vs San Francisco 49ers | 2 | Under |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | @ Seattle Seahawks | 4 | Over |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | Under |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | vs New York Jets | 4 | Over |
| 2025-09-15 | 2 | @ Houston Texans | 4 | Over |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | @ Atlanta Falcons | 3 | Under |
Sterling Shepard receptions — common questions
- How often does Sterling Shepard go over 3.5 receptions?
- Sterling Shepard went over 3.5 receptions in 5 of his 13 games in 2025 (38%), averaging 3 per game.
- What is Sterling Shepard's receptions line?
- Sterling Shepard has no receptions line posted right now. His 2025 median was 3 receptions, which is where the line typically lands.
- Does Sterling Shepard do better at home or on the road?
- Sterling Shepard averaged 3.7 receptions in 7 road games versus 2.2 in 6 home games during 2025.
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