Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Hit Rate
QB · Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) went over the current 15.5 line in 9 of his 14 games in 2025, averaging 30.1 rushing yards across 14 games.
This week: vs Denver Broncos — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
15.5
On the board at Underdog vs Denver Broncos
2025 avg
30.1
14 games
Over 15.5
9-5
64%
Season total
422
rushing yards
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 13 | 1 | 93% |
| 15.5current line | 9 | 5 | 64% |
| 28.5 | 8 | 6 | 57% |
| 40.5 | 4 | 10 | 29% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 33.1 | 6-2 (75%) |
| Road | 6 | 26.2 | 3-3 (50%) |
Every 2025 game — rushing yards
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Rushing Yards | vs 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | 15 | Under |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs Houston Texans | 59 | Over |
| 2025-11-27 | 13 | @ Dallas Cowboys | 30 | Over |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | vs Indianapolis Colts | 30 | Over |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Denver Broncos | 3 | Under |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ Buffalo Bills | 5 | Under |
| 2025-10-27 | 8 | vs Washington Commanders | 30 | Over |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | 28 | Over |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | vs Detroit Lions | 32 | Over |
| 2025-10-06 | 5 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | 60 | Over |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs Baltimore Ravens | 5 | Under |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | @ New York Giants | 2 | Under |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 66 | Over |
| 2025-09-05 | 1 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | 57 | Over |
Patrick Mahomes rushing yards — common questions
- How often does Patrick Mahomes go over 15.5 rushing yards?
- Patrick Mahomes went over 15.5 rushing yards in 9 of his 14 games in 2025 (64%), averaging 30.1 per game.
- What is Patrick Mahomes's rushing yards line?
- Patrick Mahomes's rushing yards line is 15.5 at Underdog vs the Denver Broncos.
- Does Patrick Mahomes do better at home or on the road?
- Patrick Mahomes averaged 33.1 rushing yards in 8 home games versus 26.2 in 6 road games during 2025.
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