Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Hit Rate
QB · KC · 2025 with Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes (KC) went over the current 14.5 line in 10 of his 14 games in 2025, averaging 30.1 rushing yards across 14 games.
This week: vs MIA — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
14.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs MIA
2025 avg
30.1
14 games
Over 14.5
10-4
71%
Season total
422
rushing yards
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 14 | 0 | 100% |
| 14.5current line | 10 | 4 | 71% |
| 27.5 | 9 | 5 | 64% |
| 39.5 | 4 | 10 | 29% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 33.1 | 7-1 (88%) |
| Road | 6 | 26.2 | 3-3 (50%) |
Every 2025 game — rushing yards
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Rushing Yards | vs 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | 15 | Over |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs Houston Texans | 59 | Over |
| 2025-11-27 | 13 | @ Dallas Cowboys | 30 | Over |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | vs Indianapolis Colts | 30 | Over |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Denver Broncos | 3 | Under |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ Buffalo Bills | 5 | Under |
| 2025-10-27 | 8 | vs Washington Commanders | 30 | Over |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | 28 | Over |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | vs Detroit Lions | 32 | Over |
| 2025-10-06 | 5 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | 60 | Over |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs Baltimore Ravens | 5 | Under |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | @ New York Giants | 2 | Under |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 66 | Over |
| 2025-09-05 | 1 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | 57 | Over |
Patrick Mahomes rushing yards — common questions
- How often does Patrick Mahomes go over 14.5 rushing yards?
- Patrick Mahomes went over 14.5 rushing yards in 10 of his 14 games in 2025 (71%), averaging 30.1 per game.
- What is Patrick Mahomes's rushing yards line?
- Patrick Mahomes's rushing yards line is 14.5 at PrizePicks vs the MIA.
- Does Patrick Mahomes do better at home or on the road?
- Patrick Mahomes averaged 33.1 rushing yards in 8 home games versus 26.2 in 6 road games during 2025.
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