Kyle Pitts Receptions Hit Rate
TE · Atlanta Falcons
Kyle Pitts (Atlanta Falcons) went over the current 4.5 line in 9 of his 17 games in 2025, averaging 5.2 receptions across 17 games.
This week: vs Pittsburgh Steelers — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
4.5
On the board at Underdog vs Pittsburgh Steelers
2025 avg
5.2
17 games
Over 4.5
9-8
53%
Season total
88
receptions
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 13 | 4 | 76% |
| 3.5 | 12 | 5 | 71% |
| 4.5current line | 9 | 8 | 53% |
| 5.5 | 8 | 9 | 47% |
| 6.5 | 6 | 11 | 35% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 5 | 5-3 (63%) |
| Road | 9 | 5.3 | 4-5 (44%) |
Every 2025 game — receptions
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receptions | vs 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs New Orleans Saints | 6 | Over |
| 2025-12-29 | 17 | vs Los Angeles Rams | 2 | Under |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ Arizona Cardinals | 7 | Over |
| 2025-12-11 | 15 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 11 | Over |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs Seattle Seahawks | 6 | Over |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | @ New York Jets | 7 | Over |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | @ New Orleans Saints | 2 | Under |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | vs Carolina Panthers | 2 | Under |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | @ Indianapolis Colts | 2 | Under |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ New England Patriots | 4 | Under |
| 2025-10-26 | 8 | vs Miami Dolphins | 9 | Over |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | @ San Francisco 49ers | 7 | Over |
| 2025-10-13 | 6 | vs Buffalo Bills | 3 | Under |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs Washington Commanders | 5 | Over |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | @ Carolina Panthers | 4 | Under |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | @ Minnesota Vikings | 4 | Under |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | Over |
Kyle Pitts receptions — common questions
- How often does Kyle Pitts go over 4.5 receptions?
- Kyle Pitts went over 4.5 receptions in 9 of his 17 games in 2025 (53%), averaging 5.2 per game.
- What is Kyle Pitts's receptions line?
- Kyle Pitts's receptions line is 4.5 at Underdog vs the Pittsburgh Steelers.
- Does Kyle Pitts do better at home or on the road?
- Kyle Pitts averaged 5.3 receptions in 9 road games versus 5 in 8 home games during 2025.
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