Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Hit Rate
QB · LAC · 2025 with Los Angeles Chargers
Justin Herbert (LAC) went over the current 23.5 line in 10 of his 16 games in 2025, averaging 31.1 rushing yards across 16 games.
This week: vs BUF — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
23.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs BUF
2025 avg
31.1
16 games
Over 23.5
10-6
63%
Season total
498
rushing yards
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 12 | 4 | 75% |
| 23.5current line | 10 | 6 | 63% |
| 36.5 | 6 | 10 | 38% |
| 48.5 | 4 | 12 | 25% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 23.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9 | 35.7 | 6-3 (67%) |
| Road | 7 | 25.3 | 4-3 (57%) |
Every 2025 game — rushing yards
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Rushing Yards | vs 23.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-27 | 17 | vs Houston Texans | 37 | Over |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ Dallas Cowboys | 42 | Over |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | 0 | Under |
| 2025-12-08 | 14 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 66 | Over |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | 8 | Under |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | 21 | Under |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | 19 | Under |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ Tennessee Titans | 57 | Over |
| 2025-10-23 | 8 | vs Minnesota Vikings | 62 | Over |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs Indianapolis Colts | 31 | Over |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | @ Miami Dolphins | 2 | Under |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | vs Washington Commanders | 60 | Over |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | @ New York Giants | 24 | Over |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | vs Denver Broncos | 6 | Under |
| 2025-09-15 | 2 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | 31 | Over |
| 2025-09-05 | 1 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | 32 | Over |
Justin Herbert rushing yards — common questions
- How often does Justin Herbert go over 23.5 rushing yards?
- Justin Herbert went over 23.5 rushing yards in 10 of his 16 games in 2025 (63%), averaging 31.1 per game.
- What is Justin Herbert's rushing yards line?
- Justin Herbert's rushing yards line is 23.5 at PrizePicks vs the BUF.
- Does Justin Herbert do better at home or on the road?
- Justin Herbert averaged 35.7 rushing yards in 9 home games versus 25.3 in 7 road games during 2025.
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