Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Hit Rate
RB · Pittsburgh Steelers
Jaylen Warren (Pittsburgh Steelers) went over the current 39.5 line in 11 of his 16 games in 2025, averaging 59.9 rushing yards across 16 games.
This week: vs Atlanta Falcons — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
39.5
On the board at Underdog vs Atlanta Falcons
2025 avg
59.9
16 games
Over 39.5
11-5
69%
Season total
958
rushing yards
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.5 | 15 | 1 | 94% |
| 26.5 | 15 | 1 | 94% |
| 39.5current line | 11 | 5 | 69% |
| 52.5 | 8 | 8 | 50% |
| 64.5 | 5 | 11 | 31% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 39.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 48.6 | 5-3 (63%) |
| Road | 8 | 71.1 | 6-2 (75%) |
Every 2025 game — rushing yards
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Rushing Yards | vs 39.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs Baltimore Ravens | 66 | Over |
| 2025-12-28 | 17 | @ Cleveland Browns | 64 | Over |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ Detroit Lions | 143 | Over |
| 2025-12-15 | 15 | vs Miami Dolphins | 33 | Under |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | @ Baltimore Ravens | 13 | Under |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | vs Buffalo Bills | 35 | Under |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | @ Chicago Bears | 68 | Over |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | 62 | Over |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | 70 | Over |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | vs Indianapolis Colts | 31 | Under |
| 2025-10-26 | 8 | vs Green Bay Packers | 62 | Over |
| 2025-10-16 | 7 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 127 | Over |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | vs Cleveland Browns | 52 | Over |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | @ New England Patriots | 47 | Over |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs Seattle Seahawks | 48 | Over |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | @ New York Jets | 37 | Under |
Jaylen Warren rushing yards — common questions
- How often does Jaylen Warren go over 39.5 rushing yards?
- Jaylen Warren went over 39.5 rushing yards in 11 of his 16 games in 2025 (69%), averaging 59.9 per game.
- What is Jaylen Warren's rushing yards line?
- Jaylen Warren's rushing yards line is 39.5 at Underdog vs the Atlanta Falcons.
- Does Jaylen Warren do better at home or on the road?
- Jaylen Warren averaged 71.1 rushing yards in 8 road games versus 48.6 in 8 home games during 2025.
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