Jake Ferguson Receptions Hit Rate
TE · DAL · 2025 with Dallas Cowboys
Jake Ferguson (DAL) went over the current 5.5 line in 5 of his 17 games in 2025, averaging 4.8 receptions across 17 games.
This week: vs BAL — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
5.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs BAL
2025 avg
4.8
17 games
Over 5.5
5-12
29%
Season total
82
receptions
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 11 | 6 | 65% |
| 4.5 | 10 | 7 | 59% |
| 5.5current line | 5 | 12 | 29% |
| 6.5 | 5 | 12 | 29% |
| 7.5 | 2 | 15 | 12% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 5.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 5.4 | 3-5 (38%) |
| Road | 9 | 4.3 | 2-7 (22%) |
Every 2025 game — receptions
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receptions | vs 5.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | @ New York Giants | 1 | Under |
| 2025-12-25 | 17 | @ Washington Commanders | 1 | Under |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | vs Los Angeles Chargers | 3 | Under |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | vs Minnesota Vikings | 2 | Under |
| 2025-12-04 | 14 | @ Detroit Lions | 5 | Under |
| 2025-11-27 | 13 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | Under |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 5 | Under |
| 2025-11-17 | 11 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | 4 | Under |
| 2025-11-03 | 9 | vs Arizona Cardinals | 5 | Under |
| 2025-10-26 | 8 | @ Denver Broncos | 0 | Under |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs Washington Commanders | 7 | Over |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | @ Carolina Panthers | 3 | Under |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | @ New York Jets | 7 | Over |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs Green Bay Packers | 7 | Over |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | @ Chicago Bears | 13 | Over |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | vs New York Giants | 9 | Over |
| 2025-09-04 | 1 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 5 | Under |
Jake Ferguson receptions — common questions
- How often does Jake Ferguson go over 5.5 receptions?
- Jake Ferguson went over 5.5 receptions in 5 of his 17 games in 2025 (29%), averaging 4.8 per game.
- What is Jake Ferguson's receptions line?
- Jake Ferguson's receptions line is 5.5 at PrizePicks vs the BAL.
- Does Jake Ferguson do better at home or on the road?
- Jake Ferguson averaged 5.4 receptions in 8 home games versus 4.3 in 9 road games during 2025.
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