Isaiah Likely Receptions Hit Rate
TE · NYG · 2025 with Baltimore Ravens
Isaiah Likely (NYG) went over the current 3.5 line in 2 of his 11 games in 2025, averaging 2.5 receptions across 11 games.
This week: vs DAL — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
3.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs DAL
2025 avg
2.5
11 games
Over 3.5
2-9
18%
Season total
27
receptions
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 9 | 2 | 82% |
| 2.5 | 4 | 7 | 36% |
| 3.5current line | 2 | 9 | 18% |
| 4.5 | 1 | 10 | 9% |
| 5.5 | 0 | 11 | 0% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6 | 2.5 | 2-4 (33%) |
| Road | 5 | 2.4 | 0-5 (0%) |
Every 2025 game — receptions
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Receptions | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 2 | Under |
| 2025-12-27 | 17 | @ Green Bay Packers | 3 | Under |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | 4 | Over |
| 2025-11-27 | 13 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | Over |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | vs New York Jets | 1 | Under |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Cleveland Browns | 2 | Under |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | @ Minnesota Vikings | 2 | Under |
| 2025-10-30 | 9 | @ Miami Dolphins | 3 | Under |
| 2025-10-26 | 8 | vs Chicago Bears | 2 | Under |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | vs Los Angeles Rams | 2 | Under |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | vs Houston Texans | 1 | Under |
Isaiah Likely receptions — common questions
- How often does Isaiah Likely go over 3.5 receptions?
- Isaiah Likely went over 3.5 receptions in 2 of his 11 games in 2025 (18%), averaging 2.5 per game.
- What is Isaiah Likely's receptions line?
- Isaiah Likely's receptions line is 3.5 at PrizePicks vs the DAL.
- Does Isaiah Likely do better at home or on the road?
- Isaiah Likely averaged 2.5 receptions in 6 home games versus 2.4 in 5 road games during 2025.
Got this leg in a slip?
Drop your PrizePicks or Underdog slip in the grader — verdict on every leg in seconds, free.
Grade my slipNFL Season Pass — $49
Every hit rate, every board, unlimited slip grades — now through the Super Bowl. One payment, no renewal.