The Prop Market Logo
Check a PropSlip BuilderFavoritesNBACBBNFLMLBWNBAPricing
The Prop Market Logo
Board
NFL / Players / Cole Kmet Receptions

Cole Kmet Receptions Hit Rate

TE · Chicago Bears

Cole Kmet (Chicago Bears) went over the current 1.5 line in 9 of his 16 games in 2025, averaging 1.9 receptions across 16 games.

This week: vs Carolina Panthers — full matchup hit rates →

Current line
1.5
On the board at Underdog vs Carolina Panthers
2025 avg
1.9
16 games
Over 1.5
9-7
56%
Season total
30
receptions

Hit rate by line — 2025 season

LineOverUnderOver rate
0.5160100%
1.5current line9756%
2.531319%
3.51156%

Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.

Home vs road

SplitGamesAveragevs 1.5
Home81.43-5 (38%)
Road82.46-2 (75%)

Every 2025 game — receptions

DateWkOpponentReceptionsvs 1.5
2026-01-0418vs Detroit Lions2Over
2025-12-2817@ San Francisco 49ers2Over
2025-12-2016vs Green Bay Packers2Over
2025-12-1415vs Cleveland Browns2Over
2025-12-0714@ Green Bay Packers2Over
2025-11-2813@ Philadelphia Eagles3Over
2025-11-2312vs Pittsburgh Steelers1Under
2025-11-1611@ Minnesota Vikings5Over
2025-11-0910vs New York Giants1Under
2025-11-029@ Cincinnati Bengals1Under
2025-10-197vs New Orleans Saints1Under
2025-10-136@ Washington Commanders1Under
2025-09-284@ Las Vegas Raiders3Over
2025-09-213vs Dallas Cowboys1Under
2025-09-142@ Detroit Lions2Over
2025-09-081vs Minnesota Vikings1Under

Cole Kmet receptions — common questions

How often does Cole Kmet go over 1.5 receptions?
Cole Kmet went over 1.5 receptions in 9 of his 16 games in 2025 (56%), averaging 1.9 per game.
What is Cole Kmet's receptions line?
Cole Kmet's receptions line is 1.5 at Underdog vs the Carolina Panthers.
Does Cole Kmet do better at home or on the road?
Cole Kmet averaged 2.4 receptions in 8 road games versus 1.4 in 8 home games during 2025.

Got this leg in a slip?

Drop your PrizePicks or Underdog slip in the grader — verdict on every leg in seconds, free.

Grade my slip

NFL Season Pass — $49

Every hit rate, every board, unlimited slip grades — now through the Super Bowl. One payment, no renewal.

Chicago Bears — receptions

  • Colston Loveland receptions
  • DJ Moore receptions
  • Luther Burden III receptions
  • Rome Odunze receptions
  • Olamide Zaccheaus receptions
  • D'Andre Swift receptions

2025 receptions leaders

  • Puka Nacua — 129
  • Trey McBride — 126
  • Ja'Marr Chase — 125
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba — 119
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown — 117
All NFL player pagesNFL props todayNFL board

Hit rates are computed from official box scores against the current board line; pushes are excluded from both sides. How we compute hit rates

Research tool, not a sportsbook. 21+ (18+ where permitted). If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, call 1-800-GAMBLER.