Caleb Williams Rushing Yards Hit Rate
QB · Chicago Bears
Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears) went over the current 22.5 line in 7 of his 17 games in 2025, averaging 22.5 rushing yards across 17 games.
This week: vs Carolina Panthers — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
22.5
On the board at Underdog vs Carolina Panthers
2025 avg
22.5
17 games
Over 22.5
7-10
41%
Season total
383
rushing yards
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 14 | 3 | 82% |
| 22.5current line | 7 | 10 | 41% |
| 35.5 | 3 | 14 | 18% |
| 47.5 | 3 | 14 | 18% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 22.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8 | 24.5 | 3-5 (38%) |
| Road | 9 | 20.8 | 4-5 (44%) |
Every 2025 game — rushing yards
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Rushing Yards | vs 22.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 18 | vs Detroit Lions | 1 | Under |
| 2025-12-28 | 17 | @ San Francisco 49ers | 18 | Under |
| 2025-12-20 | 16 | vs Green Bay Packers | 30 | Over |
| 2025-12-14 | 15 | vs Cleveland Browns | 13 | Under |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | @ Green Bay Packers | 15 | Under |
| 2025-11-28 | 13 | @ Philadelphia Eagles | 13 | Under |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | 21 | Under |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Minnesota Vikings | 26 | Over |
| 2025-11-09 | 10 | vs New York Giants | 63 | Over |
| 2025-11-02 | 9 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 53 | Over |
| 2025-10-26 | 8 | @ Baltimore Ravens | 24 | Over |
| 2025-10-19 | 7 | vs New Orleans Saints | -2 | Under |
| 2025-10-13 | 6 | @ Washington Commanders | -2 | Under |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | @ Las Vegas Raiders | 13 | Under |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | vs Dallas Cowboys | 12 | Under |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | @ Detroit Lions | 27 | Over |
| 2025-09-08 | 1 | vs Minnesota Vikings | 58 | Over |
Caleb Williams rushing yards — common questions
- How often does Caleb Williams go over 22.5 rushing yards?
- Caleb Williams went over 22.5 rushing yards in 7 of his 17 games in 2025 (41%), averaging 22.5 per game.
- What is Caleb Williams's rushing yards line?
- Caleb Williams's rushing yards line is 22.5 at Underdog vs the Carolina Panthers.
- Does Caleb Williams do better at home or on the road?
- Caleb Williams averaged 24.5 rushing yards in 8 home games versus 20.8 in 9 road games during 2025.
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