Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Hit Rate
QB · TB · 2025 with Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Baker Mayfield (TB) went over the current 16.5 line in 9 of his 14 games in 2025, averaging 27.3 rushing yards across 14 games.
This week: vs CIN — full matchup hit rates →
Current line
16.5
On the board at PrizePicks vs CIN
2025 avg
27.3
14 games
Over 16.5
9-5
64%
Season total
382
rushing yards
Hit rate by line — 2025 season
| Line | Over | Under | Over rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 13 | 1 | 93% |
| 16.5current line | 9 | 5 | 64% |
| 29.5 | 7 | 7 | 50% |
| 41.5 | 3 | 11 | 21% |
Games landing exactly on a line are pushes and are excluded from both rates.
Home vs road
| Split | Games | Average | vs 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7 | 24.6 | 4-3 (57%) |
| Road | 7 | 30 | 5-2 (71%) |
Every 2025 game — rushing yards
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Rushing Yards | vs 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | 18 | vs Carolina Panthers | 31 | Over |
| 2025-12-28 | 17 | @ Miami Dolphins | 16 | Under |
| 2025-12-21 | 16 | @ Carolina Panthers | 49 | Over |
| 2025-12-11 | 15 | vs Atlanta Falcons | 1 | Under |
| 2025-12-07 | 14 | vs New Orleans Saints | 42 | Over |
| 2025-11-30 | 13 | vs Arizona Cardinals | 27 | Over |
| 2025-11-23 | 12 | @ Los Angeles Rams | 19 | Over |
| 2025-11-16 | 11 | @ Buffalo Bills | 39 | Over |
| 2025-10-12 | 6 | vs San Francisco 49ers | 14 | Under |
| 2025-10-05 | 5 | @ Seattle Seahawks | 15 | Under |
| 2025-09-28 | 4 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | 13 | Under |
| 2025-09-21 | 3 | vs New York Jets | 44 | Over |
| 2025-09-15 | 2 | @ Houston Texans | 33 | Over |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | @ Atlanta Falcons | 39 | Over |
Baker Mayfield rushing yards — common questions
- How often does Baker Mayfield go over 16.5 rushing yards?
- Baker Mayfield went over 16.5 rushing yards in 9 of his 14 games in 2025 (64%), averaging 27.3 per game.
- What is Baker Mayfield's rushing yards line?
- Baker Mayfield's rushing yards line is 16.5 at PrizePicks vs the CIN.
- Does Baker Mayfield do better at home or on the road?
- Baker Mayfield averaged 30 rushing yards in 7 road games versus 24.6 in 7 home games during 2025.
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