Getting Started with TPM

Learn how to use The Prop Market's advanced features to find the best prop betting opportunities.

Understanding Prop Cards

Each prop card displays essential information at a glance:

  • Player info and game details
  • Current line and odds comparison
  • Hit rates for different time periods
  • Defense vs. Position ranking
  • +EV indicators for value bets

Look for the colored border on the left - green indicates positive expected value for the over, red for the under.

Prop Card Example

Smart Filtering System

Fine-tune your prop search with our comprehensive filters:

  • Sort by various hit rates and trends (Last 5, Last 10, etc.)
  • Filter by prop type (points, rebounds, points+rebounds, etc.)
  • Toggle injury-adjusted statistics (see how props perform when injured teammates are in or out of the lineup by clicking 🤕)
  • Instantly see the most consistent demon or goblin props
Filters Example

Deep-Dive Analysis Tools

Hit Rates Analysis

Our hit rates tab provides comprehensive historical performance data:

  • Interactive line adjustment to test different scenarios very usefule if you use sites other than prizepicks for prop betting
  • Detailed game logs with scores and outcomes
  • Hit rates across multiple timeframes
  • Injury toggles for teammates

Pro Tip:

Use the in /out filter on teammates to see how hit rates change when injured teammates are out of the lineup.

Hit Rates Analysis Tab

Matchup Analysis

Understand the defensive context of each prop:

  • Team defense rankings by position
  • Recent defensive performance trends
  • Pace and style matchup indicators
  • Key defensive player availability

Pro Tip:

Look for props where a team's defensive ranking aligns with the player's recent performance trends.

Matchup Analysis Tab

Vegas Overview

Compare odds across major sportsbooks:

  • Real-time line shopping across books
  • Devigged probabilities for true odds
  • +EV opportunity identification

Pro Tip:

Pinnacle odds are considered the sharpest in the market. Use their lines as a benchmark for finding value.

Vegas Overview Tab

Correlations

Build smarter parlays with correlation data:

  • Teammate prop correlations
  • Historical parlay success rates
  • Complementary prop suggestions

Pro Tip:

Look for correlations when building parlays to increase your chances of success.

Pro Tips

Finding Value Props

Look for props with green/red borders indicating +EV opportunities, combined with strong hit rates and favorable defensive matchups. +EV signifies that prizepicks line is higher or lower than the sharp sportbooks

Using Injury Adjustments

Toggle the injury filter to see how a player's performance changes when key teammates are injured. You can also use the injury filter to see how a player's performance changes when key teammates are in the lineup like when a player is coming back from injury.

Understanding Correlations

Use the correlations tab to identify complementary props for making parlays.

Line Shopping

Compare lines across books in the Vegas tab to ensure you're getting the best number for your plays. Pro tip pinnacle is the best book for line shopping they have the most accurate lines.